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Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022?

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Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sayyid Ali Hosseini Khamenei (titled "Ali Hoseini-KHAMENEI" on the resolution source) remains the Supreme Leader of Iran without interruption from September 29, 2022, through December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Iran, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/iran/#government. If the Islamic Republic of Iran is dissolved or otherwise ceases to exist before the resolution date of this market, or if the Supreme Leader of Iran position is otherwise eliminated, the market will resolve to “No”. Other definitive credible reporting may also be considered in the event that the resolution source becomes unavailable or does not update.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sayyid Ali Hosseini Khamenei (titled "Ali Hoseini-KHAMENEI" on the resolution source) remains the Supreme Leader of Iran without interruption from September 29, 2022, through December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Iran, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/iran/#government.

If the Islamic Republic of Iran is dissolved or otherwise ceases to exist before the resolution date of this market, or if the Supreme Leader of Iran position is otherwise eliminated, the market will resolve to “No”.

Other definitive credible reporting may also be considered in the event that the resolution source becomes unavailable or does not update.
Volumen
$19,171
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2022
Mercado abierto
Sep 28, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sayyid Ali Hosseini Khamenei (titled "Ali Hoseini-KHAMENEI" on the resolution source) remains the Supreme Leader of Iran without interruption from September 29, 2022, through December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Iran, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/iran/#government. If the Islamic Republic of Iran is dissolved or otherwise ceases to exist before the resolution date of this market, or if the Supreme Leader of Iran position is otherwise eliminated, the market will resolve to “No”. Other definitive credible reporting may also be considered in the event that the resolution source becomes unavailable or does not update.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sayyid Ali Hosseini Khamenei (titled "Ali Hoseini-KHAMENEI" on the resolution source) remains the Supreme Leader of Iran without interruption from September 29, 2022, through December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Iran, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/iran/#government. If the Islamic Republic of Iran is dissolved or otherwise ceases to exist before the resolution date of this market, or if the Supreme Leader of Iran position is otherwise eliminated, the market will resolve to “No”. Other definitive credible reporting may also be considered in the event that the resolution source becomes unavailable or does not update.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sayyid Ali Hosseini Khamenei (titled "Ali Hoseini-KHAMENEI" on the resolution source) remains the Supreme Leader of Iran without interruption from September 29, 2022, through December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Iran, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/iran/#government.

If the Islamic Republic of Iran is dissolved or otherwise ceases to exist before the resolution date of this market, or if the Supreme Leader of Iran position is otherwise eliminated, the market will resolve to “No”.

Other definitive credible reporting may also be considered in the event that the resolution source becomes unavailable or does not update.
Volumen
$19,171
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2022
Mercado abierto
Sep 28, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sayyid Ali Hosseini Khamenei (titled "Ali Hoseini-KHAMENEI" on the resolution source) remains the Supreme Leader of Iran without interruption from September 29, 2022, through December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Iran, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/iran/#government. If the Islamic Republic of Iran is dissolved or otherwise ceases to exist before the resolution date of this market, or if the Supreme Leader of Iran position is otherwise eliminated, the market will resolve to “No”. Other definitive credible reporting may also be considered in the event that the resolution source becomes unavailable or does not update.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022?" ha generado $19.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 29, 2022. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.