No tropical cyclones are active in the Atlantic basin as of late May 2026, and the National Hurricane Center reports no disturbances expected to develop over the next several days. The official Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1, with current sea surface temperatures and elevated wind shear from an emerging El Niño pattern creating conditions strongly unfavorable for rapid organization or intensification this early. Historical records show pre-June hurricanes are exceptionally rare, aligning with NOAA’s below-normal 2026 seasonal outlook of just 3–6 hurricanes overall. While forecast model runs can shift quickly, no realistic pathway exists for a hurricane to reach the required 74 mph sustained winds before the May 31 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Se formará un huracán antes del 31 de mayo?
¿Se formará un huracán antes del 31 de mayo?
Sí
$54,306 Vol.
$54,306 Vol.
31 may 2026
Sí
$54,306 Vol.
$54,306 Vol.
31 may 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.No tropical cyclones are active in the Atlantic basin as of late May 2026, and the National Hurricane Center reports no disturbances expected to develop over the next several days. The official Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1, with current sea surface temperatures and elevated wind shear from an emerging El Niño pattern creating conditions strongly unfavorable for rapid organization or intensification this early. Historical records show pre-June hurricanes are exceptionally rare, aligning with NOAA’s below-normal 2026 seasonal outlook of just 3–6 hurricanes overall. While forecast model runs can shift quickly, no realistic pathway exists for a hurricane to reach the required 74 mph sustained winds before the May 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
Volumen
$54,306Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.No tropical cyclones are active in the Atlantic basin as of late May 2026, and the National Hurricane Center reports no disturbances expected to develop over the next several days. The official Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1, with current sea surface temperatures and elevated wind shear from an emerging El Niño pattern creating conditions strongly unfavorable for rapid organization or intensification this early. Historical records show pre-June hurricanes are exceptionally rare, aligning with NOAA’s below-normal 2026 seasonal outlook of just 3–6 hurricanes overall. While forecast model runs can shift quickly, no realistic pathway exists for a hurricane to reach the required 74 mph sustained winds before the May 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Volumen
$54,306Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No tropical cyclones are active in the Atlantic basin as of late May 2026, and the National Hurricane Center reports no disturbances expected to develop over the next several days. The official Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1, with current sea surface temperatures and elevated wind shear from an emerging El Niño pattern creating conditions strongly unfavorable for rapid organization or intensification this early. Historical records show pre-June hurricanes are exceptionally rare, aligning with NOAA’s below-normal 2026 seasonal outlook of just 3–6 hurricanes overall. While forecast model runs can shift quickly, no realistic pathway exists for a hurricane to reach the required 74 mph sustained winds before the May 31 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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