The near-certainty of no Atlantic hurricane forming by May 31 stems from National Hurricane Center monitoring showing zero active tropical cyclones or organized disturbances as of late May, combined with the official season start on June 1 and typical climatological suppression from elevated wind shear, insufficient sea surface temperatures for rapid intensification, and steering patterns that rarely allow pre-season development. Historical records confirm hurricanes before June remain exceptionally rare, with zero systems recorded in recent decades meeting the 74 mph threshold this early. While an unforeseen tropical wave could theoretically organize and intensify within the narrow window, prevailing model consensus and current atmospheric conditions indicate minimal realistic pathways before month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Se formará un huracán antes del 31 de mayo?
Sí
$51,669 Vol.
$51,669 Vol.
Sí
$51,669 Vol.
$51,669 Vol.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certainty of no Atlantic hurricane forming by May 31 stems from National Hurricane Center monitoring showing zero active tropical cyclones or organized disturbances as of late May, combined with the official season start on June 1 and typical climatological suppression from elevated wind shear, insufficient sea surface temperatures for rapid intensification, and steering patterns that rarely allow pre-season development. Historical records confirm hurricanes before June remain exceptionally rare, with zero systems recorded in recent decades meeting the 74 mph threshold this early. While an unforeseen tropical wave could theoretically organize and intensify within the narrow window, prevailing model consensus and current atmospheric conditions indicate minimal realistic pathways before month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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