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Who will be the next speaker?

Market icon

Who will be the next speaker?

$552,837 Vol.

Jun 30, 2024
Polymarket

$552,837 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Mike Johnson

$65,265 Vol.

Yes

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Tom Emmer

$36,652 Vol.

No

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Byron Donalds

$14,210 Vol.

No

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Jim Jordan

$159,904 Vol.

No

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Hakeem Jeffries

$3,511 Vol.

No

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Patrick McHenry

$25,295 Vol.

No

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Kevin Hern

$26,155 Vol.

No

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Kevin McCarthy

$72,276 Vol.

No

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Steve Scalise

$31,706 Vol.

No

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Donald Trump

$78,865 Vol.

No

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Kari Lake

$39,000 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Emmer is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Patrick McHenry is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Hern is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin McCarthy is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after his ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Scalise is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kari Lake is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Emmer is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Patrick McHenry is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Hern is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin McCarthy is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after his ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Scalise is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kari Lake is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Who will be the next speaker?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mike Johnson" con 100%, seguido de "Tom Emmer" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Who will be the next speaker?" ha generado $552.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 3, 2023. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Who will be the next speaker?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Who will be the next speaker?" es "Mike Johnson" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tom Emmer" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Who will be the next speaker?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.