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Who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress?

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Who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress?

$88,403 Vol.

Jan 4, 2023
Polymarket

$88,403 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Kevin McCarthy

$85,139 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Steve Scalise

$413 Vol.

No

Market icon

Nancy Pelosi

$2,851 Vol.

No

The midterm US elections scheduled for November 8, 2022, are expected to be contentious, with a strong possibility of the Republicans taking the House and Senate. If the Republicans take the US House of Representatives, the present Speaker of the House, Democrat Nancy Pelosi, may be replaced by the Republican who wins a roll call election held by House members. The 2022 midterm federal election is scheduled for November 8, 2022. The 118th Congress is scheduled to be sworn in on January 3, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Member of the US House of Representatives from California Kevin McCarthy becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 118th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 118th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 118th Congress is not finalized by March 3, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Member of the US House of Representatives from Louisiana Steve Scalise becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 118th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 118th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 118th Congress is not finalized by March 3, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.The midterm US elections scheduled for November 8, 2022, are expected to be contentious, with a strong possibility of the Republicans taking the House and Senate. If the Republicans take the US House of Representatives, the present Speaker of the House, Democrat Nancy Pelosi, may be replaced by the Republican who wins a roll call election held by House members. The 2022 midterm federal election is scheduled for November 8, 2022. The 118th Congress is scheduled to be sworn in on January 3, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Member of the US House of Representatives from California Nancy Pelosi becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 118th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 118th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 118th Congress is not finalized by March 3, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.

The midterm US elections scheduled for November 8, 2022, are expected to be contentious, with a strong possibility of the Republicans taking the House and Senate. If the Republicans take the US House of Representatives, the present Speaker of the House, Democrat Nancy Pelosi, may be replaced by the Republican who wins a roll call election held by House members.

The 2022 midterm federal election is scheduled for November 8, 2022. The 118th Congress is scheduled to be sworn in on January 3, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Member of the US House of Representatives from California Kevin McCarthy becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 118th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 118th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market.

If the election for the first Speaker for the 118th Congress is not finalized by March 3, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$88,403
Fecha de finalización
Jan 3, 2023
Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
The midterm US elections scheduled for November 8, 2022, are expected to be contentious, with a strong possibility of the Republicans taking the House and Senate. If the Republicans take the US House of Representatives, the present Speaker of the House, Democrat Nancy Pelosi, may be replaced by the Republican who wins a roll call election held by House members. The 2022 midterm federal election is scheduled for November 8, 2022. The 118th Congress is scheduled to be sworn in on January 3, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Member of the US House of Representatives from California Kevin McCarthy becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 118th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 118th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 118th Congress is not finalized by March 3, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

The midterm US elections scheduled for November 8, 2022, are expected to be contentious, with a strong possibility of the Republicans taking the House and Senate. If the Republicans take the US House of Representatives, the present Speaker of the House, Democrat Nancy Pelosi, may be replaced by the Republican who wins a roll call election held by House members. The 2022 midterm federal election is scheduled for November 8, 2022. The 118th Congress is scheduled to be sworn in on January 3, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Member of the US House of Representatives from California Kevin McCarthy becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 118th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 118th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 118th Congress is not finalized by March 3, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Member of the US House of Representatives from Louisiana Steve Scalise becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 118th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 118th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 118th Congress is not finalized by March 3, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.The midterm US elections scheduled for November 8, 2022, are expected to be contentious, with a strong possibility of the Republicans taking the House and Senate. If the Republicans take the US House of Representatives, the present Speaker of the House, Democrat Nancy Pelosi, may be replaced by the Republican who wins a roll call election held by House members. The 2022 midterm federal election is scheduled for November 8, 2022. The 118th Congress is scheduled to be sworn in on January 3, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Member of the US House of Representatives from California Nancy Pelosi becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 118th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 118th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 118th Congress is not finalized by March 3, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kevin McCarthy" con 100%, seguido de "Steve Scalise" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress?" ha generado $88.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 12, 2022. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress?" es "Kevin McCarthy" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Steve Scalise" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.