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Política·Navalny

What will Biden say during State of the Union?

Market icon
Política·Navalny

What will Biden say during State of the Union?

$76,519 Vol.

Mar 6, 2024
Polymarket

$76,519 Vol.

Polymarket
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Trump

$10,502 Vol.

No

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Folks 4 or more times

$22,245 Vol.

Yes

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China/Chinese 3 or more times

$2,401 Vol.

Yes

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Border 3 or more times

$4,427 Vol.

Yes

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Ukraine/Ukranian 3 or more times

$3,898 Vol.

Yes

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Bitcoin

$6,290 Vol.

No

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Ceasefire

$2,833 Vol.

Yes

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AI/Artificial Intelligence

$8,040 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Fentanyl

$2,217 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Navalny

$3,754 Vol.

No

Market icon

Putin

$1,560 Vol.

Yes

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Hunter

$4,366 Vol.

No

Market icon

Moon

$3,986 Vol.

No

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes." If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "China" or "Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ukraine" or "Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed words, regardless of the context of their usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Navalny" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Putin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If Biden just says "Vladimir" it will not count for this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Hunter" or "hunter" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Update: Hyphenated compound words will count - non-hyphenated compound words will not count. For example, “Chinese-made” will count as saying “Chinese”, but “moonshot” will not count as saying “moon”. If it is unclear whether Biden said a compound/hyphenated word, the transcript will be used. Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Moon" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes." If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "China" or "Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ukraine" or "Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed words, regardless of the context of their usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Navalny" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Putin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If Biden just says "Vladimir" it will not count for this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Hunter" or "hunter" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Update: Hyphenated compound words will count - non-hyphenated compound words will not count. For example, “Chinese-made” will count as saying “Chinese”, but “moonshot” will not count as saying “moon”. If it is unclear whether Biden said a compound/hyphenated word, the transcript will be used. Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Moon" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will Biden say during State of the Union?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Folks 4 or more times" con 100%, seguido de " China/Chinese 3 or more times" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "What will Biden say during State of the Union?" ha generado $76.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 6, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "What will Biden say during State of the Union?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will Biden say during State of the Union?" es "Folks 4 or more times" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es " China/Chinese 3 or more times" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will Biden say during State of the Union?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.