The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 11th Congressional District, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote and now faces a Democratic primary on August 4 against challengers including Bree Fram, Stella Pekarsky, and Amy Roma. Republican primary contenders such as Nathan Headrick face structural headwinds in this Northern Virginia suburban district. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican viability. A divisive Democratic primary or unforeseen national political shift could narrow margins, though such developments have not yet altered the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$18,977 Vol.
$18,977 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$18,977 Vol.
$18,977 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$12,275 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$6,702 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 11th Congressional District, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote and now faces a Democratic primary on August 4 against challengers including Bree Fram, Stella Pekarsky, and Amy Roma. Republican primary contenders such as Nathan Headrick face structural headwinds in this Northern Virginia suburban district. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican viability. A divisive Democratic primary or unforeseen national political shift could narrow margins, though such developments have not yet altered the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$18,977Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 11th Congressional District, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote and now faces a Democratic primary on August 4 against challengers including Bree Fram, Stella Pekarsky, and Amy Roma. Republican primary contenders such as Nathan Headrick face structural headwinds in this Northern Virginia suburban district. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican viability. A divisive Democratic primary or unforeseen national political shift could narrow margins, though such developments have not yet altered the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,977Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 11th Congressional District, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote and now faces a Democratic primary on August 4 against challengers including Bree Fram, Stella Pekarsky, and Amy Roma. Republican primary contenders such as Nathan Headrick face structural headwinds in this Northern Virginia suburban district. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican viability. A divisive Democratic primary or unforeseen national political shift could narrow margins, though such developments have not yet altered the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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