UK strike on Iran before July?
$334,129 Vol.
$334,129 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iran soil between June 19, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by UK military forces that impact Iran ground territory.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iran territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly along the line of control, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or sanctions, will not qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iran soil between June 19, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by UK military forces that impact Iran ground territory.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iran territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly along the line of control, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or sanctions, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by UK military forces that impact Iran ground territory.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iran territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly along the line of control, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or sanctions, will not qualify.
Creado en: Jun 19, 2025, 12:30 PM ET
Volumen
$334,129Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2025Creado en
Jun 19, 2025, 12:30 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
UK strike on Iran before July?
$334,129 Vol.
$334,129 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iran soil between June 19, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by UK military forces that impact Iran ground territory.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iran territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly along the line of control, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or sanctions, will not qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iran soil between June 19, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by UK military forces that impact Iran ground territory.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iran territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly along the line of control, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or sanctions, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by UK military forces that impact Iran ground territory.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iran territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly along the line of control, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or sanctions, will not qualify.
Volumen
$334,129Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2025Creado en
Jun 19, 2025, 12:30 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Frequently Asked Questions
"UK strike on Iran before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "UK strike on Iran before July?" has generated $334.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "UK strike on Iran before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "UK strike on Iran before July?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "UK strike on Iran before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Frequently Asked Questions