The heavily Democratic tilt of Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin and carrying a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80% of the vote in March 2026, while Republican voters selected Lauren Peña in their May runoff. This structural advantage, reinforced by consistent past margins above 60% for Democrats, leaves limited room for shifts absent major national realignment or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or late legal rulings before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-37
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-37
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,058 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$1,300 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin and carrying a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80% of the vote in March 2026, while Republican voters selected Lauren Peña in their May runoff. This structural advantage, reinforced by consistent past margins above 60% for Democrats, leaves limited room for shifts absent major national realignment or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or late legal rulings before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$7,357Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin and carrying a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80% of the vote in March 2026, while Republican voters selected Lauren Peña in their May runoff. This structural advantage, reinforced by consistent past margins above 60% for Democrats, leaves limited room for shifts absent major national realignment or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or late legal rulings before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,357Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic tilt of Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin and carrying a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80% of the vote in March 2026, while Republican voters selected Lauren Peña in their May runoff. This structural advantage, reinforced by consistent past margins above 60% for Democrats, leaves limited room for shifts absent major national realignment or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or late legal rulings before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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