The Texas 30th congressional district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent prior election margins above 80 percent, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the March Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Rev. Frederick Haynes III, while the May Republican runoff selected Everett Jackson. With the general election set for November 3, structural factors such as the district's urban Dallas demographics and historical turnout patterns sustain the wide gap. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require substantial shifts in voter participation or unexpected national events within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-30
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-30
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$2,810 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$3,480 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 30th congressional district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent prior election margins above 80 percent, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the March Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Rev. Frederick Haynes III, while the May Republican runoff selected Everett Jackson. With the general election set for November 3, structural factors such as the district's urban Dallas demographics and historical turnout patterns sustain the wide gap. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require substantial shifts in voter participation or unexpected national events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$6,291Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 30th congressional district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent prior election margins above 80 percent, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the March Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Rev. Frederick Haynes III, while the May Republican runoff selected Everett Jackson. With the general election set for November 3, structural factors such as the district's urban Dallas demographics and historical turnout patterns sustain the wide gap. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require substantial shifts in voter participation or unexpected national events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$6,291Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 30th congressional district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent prior election margins above 80 percent, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the March Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Rev. Frederick Haynes III, while the May Republican runoff selected Everett Jackson. With the general election set for November 3, structural factors such as the district's urban Dallas demographics and historical turnout patterns sustain the wide gap. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require substantial shifts in voter participation or unexpected national events within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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