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Política·Casa

Who will be the Speaker of the House?

Market icon
Política·Casa

Who will be the Speaker of the House?

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YoutubeVideo LogoFinalizado

Mike Johnson 100.0%

Jim Jordan <1%

Byron Donalds <1%

Elon Musk <1%

Polymarket

$188,408,381 Vol.

Mike Johnson 100.0%

Jim Jordan <1%

Byron Donalds <1%

Elon Musk <1%

Polymarket

$188,408,381 Vol.

Market icon

Jim Jordan

$357,192 Vol.

No

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$47,176 Vol.

No

Market icon

Elon Musk

$1,649,996 Vol.

No

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$234,920 Vol.

No

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Thomas Massie

$282,843 Vol.

No

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Mike Johnson

$2,104,865 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Tom Emmer

$130,851 Vol.

No

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Hakeem Jeffries

$467,192 Vol.

No

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Steve Scalise

$146,096 Vol.

No

Market icon

Pete Sessions

$219,278 Vol.

No

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Jack Bergman

$58,633,496 Vol.

No

Market icon

Austin Scott

$67,258,994 Vol.

No

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Donald Trump

$2,724,300 Vol.

No

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Elise Stefanik

$54,151,184 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vivek Ramaswamy becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thomas Massie becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Emmer becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Scalise becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Sessions becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Bergman becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Austin Scott becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elise Stefanik becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market.

If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$188,408,381
Fecha de finalización
1 feb 2025
Mercado abierto
Nov 6, 2024, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vivek Ramaswamy becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thomas Massie becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Emmer becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Scalise becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Sessions becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Bergman becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Austin Scott becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elise Stefanik becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market.

If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$188,408,381
Fecha de finalización
1 feb 2025
Mercado abierto
Nov 6, 2024, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Who will be the Speaker of the House?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mike Johnson" con 100%, seguido de "Jim Jordan" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Who will be the Speaker of the House?" ha generado $188.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 6, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Who will be the Speaker of the House?", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Who will be the Speaker of the House?" es "Mike Johnson" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jim Jordan" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Who will be the Speaker of the House?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.