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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

Market icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

$441,297 Vol.

Apr 15, 2025
Polymarket

$441,297 Vol.

Polymarket

April 15

$4,291 Vol.

No

April 30

$7,720 Vol.

No

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?

$157,153 Vol.

No

Super Heavy explodes?

$99,839 Vol.

Yes

Trump attends launch?

$5,512 Vol.

No

Successful splash down?

$26,850 Vol.

No

Launched by May 20

$17,193 Vol.

No

Launched by May 31

$122,738 Vol.

Yes

If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by April 15, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volumen
$441,297
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025
Creado en
Mar 12, 2025, 11:16 AM ET
If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by April 15, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Super Heavy explodes?" at 100%, followed by "Launched by May 31" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9" has generated $441.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9" is "Super Heavy explodes?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Launched by May 31" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.