Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 99% implied probability for Robinhood launching a prediction market through its MIAXdx derivatives exchange by March 31, driven by the absence of any operational rollout announcements since the January 2026 acquisition close. Robinhood's joint venture with Susquehanna secured 90% of the CFTC-licensed Designated Contract Market to self-certify futures and event contracts, accelerating its fast-growing prediction markets business—which already traded billions of contracts—but integration, regulatory filings, and platform readiness have lagged, with no recent catalysts like product betas or self-certification approvals emerging in the past 30 days. Only an unforeseen last-minute soft launch or expedited CFTC greenlight in the final days could shift odds, though traders see significant barriers given the tight timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Robinhood lanzará el mercado de predicción a través de MIAXdx antes del 31 de marzo?
¿Robinhood lanzará el mercado de predicción a través de MIAXdx antes del 31 de marzo?
Sí
$335,907 Vol.
$335,907 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Sí
$335,907 Vol.
$335,907 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 99% implied probability for Robinhood launching a prediction market through its MIAXdx derivatives exchange by March 31, driven by the absence of any operational rollout announcements since the January 2026 acquisition close. Robinhood's joint venture with Susquehanna secured 90% of the CFTC-licensed Designated Contract Market to self-certify futures and event contracts, accelerating its fast-growing prediction markets business—which already traded billions of contracts—but integration, regulatory filings, and platform readiness have lagged, with no recent catalysts like product betas or self-certification approvals emerging in the past 30 days. Only an unforeseen last-minute soft launch or expedited CFTC greenlight in the final days could shift odds, though traders see significant barriers given the tight timeline.
Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 1, 2025, 6:51 PM ET
Volumen
$335,907Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 1, 2025, 6:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 99% implied probability for Robinhood launching a prediction market through its MIAXdx derivatives exchange by March 31, driven by the absence of any operational rollout announcements since the January 2026 acquisition close. Robinhood's joint venture with Susquehanna secured 90% of the CFTC-licensed Designated Contract Market to self-certify futures and event contracts, accelerating its fast-growing prediction markets business—which already traded billions of contracts—but integration, regulatory filings, and platform readiness have lagged, with no recent catalysts like product betas or self-certification approvals emerging in the past 30 days. Only an unforeseen last-minute soft launch or expedited CFTC greenlight in the final days could shift odds, though traders see significant barriers given the tight timeline.
Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$335,907Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 1, 2025, 6:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 99% implied probability for Robinhood launching a prediction market through its MIAXdx derivatives exchange by March 31, driven by the absence of any operational rollout announcements since the January 2026 acquisition close. Robinhood's joint venture with Susquehanna secured 90% of the CFTC-licensed Designated Contract Market to self-certify futures and event contracts, accelerating its fast-growing prediction markets business—which already traded billions of contracts—but integration, regulatory filings, and platform readiness have lagged, with no recent catalysts like product betas or self-certification approvals emerging in the past 30 days. Only an unforeseen last-minute soft launch or expedited CFTC greenlight in the final days could shift odds, though traders see significant barriers given the tight timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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