Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created when incumbent Kevin Hern launched a U.S. Senate bid in March 2026, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field scheduled for June 16, while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee and the district’s consistent electoral patterns. Traders’ 87 percent implied probability for a Republican winner tracks the structural advantage and absence of polling shifts or external events that would alter the expected November outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOK-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
OK-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Demócrata
13%
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,313 Vol.
87%
Partido Demócrata
$5,540 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created when incumbent Kevin Hern launched a U.S. Senate bid in March 2026, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field scheduled for June 16, while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee and the district’s consistent electoral patterns. Traders’ 87 percent implied probability for a Republican winner tracks the structural advantage and absence of polling shifts or external events that would alter the expected November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$11,853Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created when incumbent Kevin Hern launched a U.S. Senate bid in March 2026, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field scheduled for June 16, while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee and the district’s consistent electoral patterns. Traders’ 87 percent implied probability for a Republican winner tracks the structural advantage and absence of polling shifts or external events that would alter the expected November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,853Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created when incumbent Kevin Hern launched a U.S. Senate bid in March 2026, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field scheduled for June 16, while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee and the district’s consistent electoral patterns. Traders’ 87 percent implied probability for a Republican winner tracks the structural advantage and absence of polling shifts or external events that would alter the expected November outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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