Traders overwhelmingly back 80-90 million first-week views for MrBeast's next YouTube video at 73% implied probability, anchored by his track record of massive challenge-format debuts. The July 13 "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" hit 92 million in week one before settling, while August's "Ages 1-100 Fight For $500,000" reached 85 million, cementing trader consensus amid steady channel growth to 310 million subscribers. Lower tiers like 70-80M (21%) reflect potential algorithm shifts or competition, with 90M+ slim at 1.5% due to rare peaks. No next upload announced, but early viral hooks typically drive rapid viewership trajectories—monitor for title drop signaling content scale.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 75%
70-80M 21.9%
90M+ 1.6%
50-60M <1%
$889,079 Vol.
$889,079 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
22%
80-90M
75%
90M+
2%
80-90M 75%
70-80M 21.9%
90M+ 1.6%
50-60M <1%
$889,079 Vol.
$889,079 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
22%
80-90M
75%
90M+
2%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back 80-90 million first-week views for MrBeast's next YouTube video at 73% implied probability, anchored by his track record of massive challenge-format debuts. The July 13 "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" hit 92 million in week one before settling, while August's "Ages 1-100 Fight For $500,000" reached 85 million, cementing trader consensus amid steady channel growth to 310 million subscribers. Lower tiers like 70-80M (21%) reflect potential algorithm shifts or competition, with 90M+ slim at 1.5% due to rare peaks. No next upload announced, but early viral hooks typically drive rapid viewership trajectories—monitor for title drop signaling content scale.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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