MrBeast's next YouTube video enjoys overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability for 80-90 million week-one views, driven by his consistent track record of blockbuster first-week performance—recent uploads like "$1 vs $250,000,000 Private Island!" and "I Adopted EVERY Dog In A Dog Shelter" both surpassed 80 million views within seven days, fueled by his 300-million-plus subscriber base, optimized thumbnails, and high-stakes challenge formats that dominate YouTube's algorithm. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects aggregated data from the past month, where no video has dipped below 70 million early on amid steady promotional hype on social media. Realistic upsets could stem from an unprecedented viral surge pushing past 90 million, akin to past mega-hits, or content misfires amid rising competition from creators like MrBeast Gaming spin-offs; watch for the title drop and premiere buzz in the coming days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 93.1%
70-80M 6.3%
90M+ <1%
60-70M <1%
$1,181,986 Vol.
$1,181,986 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
6%
80-90M
93%
90M+
1%
80-90M 93.1%
70-80M 6.3%
90M+ <1%
60-70M <1%
$1,181,986 Vol.
$1,181,986 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
6%
80-90M
93%
90M+
1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast's next YouTube video enjoys overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability for 80-90 million week-one views, driven by his consistent track record of blockbuster first-week performance—recent uploads like "$1 vs $250,000,000 Private Island!" and "I Adopted EVERY Dog In A Dog Shelter" both surpassed 80 million views within seven days, fueled by his 300-million-plus subscriber base, optimized thumbnails, and high-stakes challenge formats that dominate YouTube's algorithm. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects aggregated data from the past month, where no video has dipped below 70 million early on amid steady promotional hype on social media. Realistic upsets could stem from an unprecedented viral surge pushing past 90 million, akin to past mega-hits, or content misfires amid rising competition from creators like MrBeast Gaming spin-offs; watch for the title drop and premiere buzz in the coming days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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