Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 35-50 million day-1 views for MrBeast's hyped upcoming video—"50 streamers compete for $1,000,000"—reflecting closely matched implied probabilities for the top bins at 24.5%, 20.0%, and 18.0%. His mid-March "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" drew just 36 million views in 24 hours, viewed as an underperformance amid channel averages exceeding 100 million daily views across uploads. This next release promises crossover appeal from dozens of top streamers' fanbases, boosting promotional buzz via social media announcements, yet faces headwinds from recent softer premieres and YouTube algorithm volatility. Key swing factors include Saturday's drop timing, live premiere engagement, and viral clip traction from participants, with historical precedents like Squid Game's 46 million benchmark setting a high bar for breakout potential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
35–40M 26%
45–50M 23%
40–45M 20%
30–35M 13%
$26,349 Vol.
$26,349 Vol.
<25M
2%
25–30M
4%
30–35M
13%
35–40M
26%
40–45M
20%
45–50M
23%
50–55M
9%
55M+
9%
35–40M 26%
45–50M 23%
40–45M 20%
30–35M 13%
$26,349 Vol.
$26,349 Vol.
<25M
2%
25–30M
4%
30–35M
13%
35–40M
26%
40–45M
20%
45–50M
23%
50–55M
9%
55M+
9%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 35-50 million day-1 views for MrBeast's hyped upcoming video—"50 streamers compete for $1,000,000"—reflecting closely matched implied probabilities for the top bins at 24.5%, 20.0%, and 18.0%. His mid-March "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" drew just 36 million views in 24 hours, viewed as an underperformance amid channel averages exceeding 100 million daily views across uploads. This next release promises crossover appeal from dozens of top streamers' fanbases, boosting promotional buzz via social media announcements, yet faces headwinds from recent softer premieres and YouTube algorithm volatility. Key swing factors include Saturday's drop timing, live premiere engagement, and viral clip traction from participants, with historical precedents like Squid Game's 46 million benchmark setting a high bar for breakout potential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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