Market icon

October 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.29-1.34 99.9%

<1.17 <1%

1.17-1.22 <1%

1.23-1.28 <1%

Polymarket

$863,544 Vol.

Normas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for October 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for October 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "October" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2024 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Volumen
$863,544
Fecha de finalización
Oct 31, 2024
Creado en
Oct 23, 2024, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for October 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for October 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "October" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2024 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

October 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.29-1.34 99.9%

<1.17 <1%

1.17-1.22 <1%

1.23-1.28 <1%

Polymarket

$863,544 Vol.

<1.17

$84,655 Vol.

No

1.17-1.22

$80,342 Vol.

No

1.23-1.28

$94,761 Vol.

No

1.29-1.34

$55,050 Vol.

Yes

1.35-1.40

$95,316 Vol.

No

>1.40

$453,420 Vol.

No

Acerca de

Volumen
$863,544
Fecha de finalización
Oct 31, 2024
Creado en
Oct 23, 2024, 3:59 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.