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NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV

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NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV

12–13% 100.0%

<8% <1%

8–9% <1%

9–10% <1%

Polymarket

$2,815,125 Vol.

12–13% 100.0%

<8% <1%

8–9% <1%

9–10% <1%

Polymarket

$2,815,125 Vol.

<8%

$205,230 Vol.

No

8–9%

$155,981 Vol.

No

9–10%

$105,452 Vol.

No

10–11%

$718,799 Vol.

No

11–12%

$460,145 Vol.

No

12–13%

$411,522 Vol.

Yes

13%+

$757,996 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Volumen
$2,815,125
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2025
Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2025, 9:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Volumen
$2,815,125
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2025
Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2025, 9:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "12–13%" con 100%, seguido de "<8%" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV" ha generado $2.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV" es "12–13%" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<8%" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.