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November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Market icon

November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Ended: Nov 30, 2024

Apr 10

Ended: Nov 30, 2024

Apr 10

1.30-1.34 100.0%

<1.20 <1%

1.20-1.24 <1%

1.25-1.29 <1%

Polymarket

$2,554,058 Vol.

1.30-1.34 100.0%

<1.20 <1%

1.20-1.24 <1%

1.25-1.29 <1%

Polymarket

$2,554,058 Vol.

<1.20

$595,329 Vol.

No

1.20-1.24

$555,925 Vol.

No

1.25-1.29

$308,546 Vol.

No

1.30-1.34

$246,733 Vol.

Yes

1.35-1.39

$383,210 Vol.

No

>1.39

$464,315 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of between 1.20°C (inclusive) 1.24°C (inclusive) and when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.20°C and 1.24°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of between 1.25°C (inclusive) 1.29°C (inclusive) and when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.25°C and 1.29°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of between 1.30°C (inclusive) 1.34°C (inclusive) and when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.30°C and 1.34°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of between 1.35°C (inclusive) 1.39°C (inclusive) and when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.35°C and 1.39°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of greater than 1.39°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of greater than 1.39°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Volumen
$2,554,058
Fecha de finalización
Nov 30, 2024
Mercado abierto
Nov 6, 2024, 2:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of between 1.20°C (inclusive) 1.24°C (inclusive) and when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.20°C and 1.24°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of between 1.25°C (inclusive) 1.29°C (inclusive) and when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.25°C and 1.29°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of between 1.30°C (inclusive) 1.34°C (inclusive) and when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.30°C and 1.34°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of between 1.35°C (inclusive) 1.39°C (inclusive) and when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.35°C and 1.39°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of greater than 1.39°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of greater than 1.39°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "1.30-1.34" con 100%, seguido de "<1.20" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" ha generado $2.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 6, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" es "1.30-1.34" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<1.20" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.