Market icon

November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.30-1.34 100.0%

<1.20 <1%

1.20-1.24 <1%

1.25-1.29 <1%

Polymarket

$2,554,058 Vol.

Normas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Volumen
$2,554,058
Fecha de finalización
Nov 30, 2024
Creado en
Nov 6, 2024, 2:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.30-1.34 100.0%

<1.20 <1%

1.20-1.24 <1%

1.25-1.29 <1%

Polymarket

$2,554,058 Vol.

<1.20

$595,329 Vol.

No

1.20-1.24

$555,925 Vol.

No

1.25-1.29

$308,546 Vol.

No

1.30-1.34

$246,733 Vol.

Yes

1.35-1.39

$383,210 Vol.

No

>1.39

$464,315 Vol.

No

Acerca de

Volumen
$2,554,058
Fecha de finalización
Nov 30, 2024
Creado en
Nov 6, 2024, 2:01 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.