Google's recent I/O 2026 keynote, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive "next month" after showcasing the lighter 3.5 Flash variant, drives the tightly clustered mid-June probabilities for the next Pro model release. Traders weigh typical Google timelines for preview rollouts to developers and the Gemini app against competitive pressure from rival labs accelerating frontier large language model updates. Historical patterns of staggered launches, benchmark optimizations, and potential last-minute refinements create the spread across June dates, while the low odds on no release by month-end reflect strong market consensus around the announced window amid ongoing AI capability races.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado23 de junio 30%
17 de junio 28%
18 de junio 25%
9 de junio 23%
26 de junio
14%
13 de junio
6%
23 de junio
30%
24 de junio
24%
El 2 de junio o antes
9%
8 de junio
6%
10 de junio
22%
20 de junio
6%
3 de junio
6%
4 de junio
8%
5 de junio
6%
6 de junio
6%
15 de junio
8%
21 de junio
6%
25 de junio
24%
7 de junio
5%
9 de junio
23%
11 de junio
25%
12 de junio
7%
14 de junio
6%
16 de junio
16%
17 de junio
28%
18 de junio
25%
19 de junio
7%
30 de junio
27%
22 de junio
24%
27 de junio
6%
28 de junio
3%
29 de junio
24%
No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio
7%
23 de junio 30%
17 de junio 28%
18 de junio 25%
9 de junio 23%
26 de junio
14%
13 de junio
6%
23 de junio
30%
24 de junio
24%
El 2 de junio o antes
9%
8 de junio
6%
10 de junio
22%
20 de junio
6%
3 de junio
6%
4 de junio
8%
5 de junio
6%
6 de junio
6%
15 de junio
8%
21 de junio
6%
25 de junio
24%
7 de junio
5%
9 de junio
23%
11 de junio
25%
12 de junio
7%
14 de junio
6%
16 de junio
16%
17 de junio
28%
18 de junio
25%
19 de junio
7%
30 de junio
27%
22 de junio
24%
27 de junio
6%
28 de junio
3%
29 de junio
24%
No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio
7%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's recent I/O 2026 keynote, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive "next month" after showcasing the lighter 3.5 Flash variant, drives the tightly clustered mid-June probabilities for the next Pro model release. Traders weigh typical Google timelines for preview rollouts to developers and the Gemini app against competitive pressure from rival labs accelerating frontier large language model updates. Historical patterns of staggered launches, benchmark optimizations, and potential last-minute refinements create the spread across June dates, while the low odds on no release by month-end reflect strong market consensus around the announced window amid ongoing AI capability races.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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