Trader consensus in the NC-02 House race overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party at 93%, reflecting incumbent Rep. Deborah Ross's commanding position in this Wake County-based district, which leans D+5 per Cook PVI and saw President Biden win by over 20 points in 2020. Recent polls, including a September SurveyUSA survey showing Ross ahead 54%-37%, underscore her double-digit leads driven by superior fundraising—over $2 million raised versus Republican Alan Swain's under $300,000—and strong performance among key voting blocs like suburban women and college-educated voters. Early voting, underway since October 17, shows high turnout in Democratic strongholds without notable Republican surges. While a major Democratic scandal or unexpected Swain momentum could narrow the gap, such shifts remain improbable with two weeks until Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNC-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NC-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the NC-02 House race overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party at 93%, reflecting incumbent Rep. Deborah Ross's commanding position in this Wake County-based district, which leans D+5 per Cook PVI and saw President Biden win by over 20 points in 2020. Recent polls, including a September SurveyUSA survey showing Ross ahead 54%-37%, underscore her double-digit leads driven by superior fundraising—over $2 million raised versus Republican Alan Swain's under $300,000—and strong performance among key voting blocs like suburban women and college-educated voters. Early voting, underway since October 17, shows high turnout in Democratic strongholds without notable Republican surges. While a major Democratic scandal or unexpected Swain momentum could narrow the gap, such shifts remain improbable with two weeks until Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the NC-02 House race overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party at 93%, reflecting incumbent Rep. Deborah Ross's commanding position in this Wake County-based district, which leans D+5 per Cook PVI and saw President Biden win by over 20 points in 2020. Recent polls, including a September SurveyUSA survey showing Ross ahead 54%-37%, underscore her double-digit leads driven by superior fundraising—over $2 million raised versus Republican Alan Swain's under $300,000—and strong performance among key voting blocs like suburban women and college-educated voters. Early voting, underway since October 17, shows high turnout in Democratic strongholds without notable Republican surges. While a major Democratic scandal or unexpected Swain momentum could narrow the gap, such shifts remain improbable with two weeks until Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the NC-02 House race overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party at 93%, reflecting incumbent Rep. Deborah Ross's commanding position in this Wake County-based district, which leans D+5 per Cook PVI and saw President Biden win by over 20 points in 2020. Recent polls, including a September SurveyUSA survey showing Ross ahead 54%-37%, underscore her double-digit leads driven by superior fundraising—over $2 million raised versus Republican Alan Swain's under $300,000—and strong performance among key voting blocs like suburban women and college-educated voters. Early voting, underway since October 17, shows high turnout in Democratic strongholds without notable Republican surges. While a major Democratic scandal or unexpected Swain momentum could narrow the gap, such shifts remain improbable with two weeks until Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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