Trader consensus pins Inter Miami CF as narrow 2026 MLS Cup favorite at 23.5% implied probability, propelled by Lionel Messi's contract extension through 2026 and the aging but potent core of Luis Suárez, Sergio Busquets, and Jordi Alba, though their fitness remains a wildcard over two seasons. Los Angeles FC trails closely at 19% on perennial contender status, multiple recent Western Conference finals appearances, and roster depth amid playoff volatility. San Diego FC's surprising 9.7% reflects expansion hype with aggressive signings like Hirving Lozano and a deep-pocketed ownership aiming for instant impact. MLS parity—evident in diverse recent champions like Columbus Crew (2023) and LA Galaxy (2024 finalists)—plus looming SuperDraft, trades, and coaching shifts keep the top cluster tight, underscoring the league's knockout unpredictability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoInter Miami CF 24%
Los Angeles FC 19%
San Diego FC 9.7%
Nashville SC 8.4%
$5,709,002 Vol.
$5,709,002 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
24%
Los Angeles FC
19%
San Diego FC
10%
Nashville SC
8%
Orlando City SC
6%
Real Salt Lake
5%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
5%
FC Cincinnati
5%
Columbus Crew
4%
San Jose Earthquakes
4%
New York City FC
3%
Charlotte FC
2%
Austin FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
2%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Seattle Sounders FC
1%
CF Montréal
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
Toronto FC
1%
New York Red Bulls
1%
New England Revolution
1%
Chicago Fire FC
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
D.C. United
1%
FC Dallas
<1%
Houston Dynamo FC
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
LA Galaxy
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Inter Miami CF 24%
Los Angeles FC 19%
San Diego FC 9.7%
Nashville SC 8.4%
$5,709,002 Vol.
$5,709,002 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
24%
Los Angeles FC
19%
San Diego FC
10%
Nashville SC
8%
Orlando City SC
6%
Real Salt Lake
5%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
5%
FC Cincinnati
5%
Columbus Crew
4%
San Jose Earthquakes
4%
New York City FC
3%
Charlotte FC
2%
Austin FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
2%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Seattle Sounders FC
1%
CF Montréal
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
Toronto FC
1%
New York Red Bulls
1%
New England Revolution
1%
Chicago Fire FC
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
D.C. United
1%
FC Dallas
<1%
Houston Dynamo FC
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
LA Galaxy
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus pins Inter Miami CF as narrow 2026 MLS Cup favorite at 23.5% implied probability, propelled by Lionel Messi's contract extension through 2026 and the aging but potent core of Luis Suárez, Sergio Busquets, and Jordi Alba, though their fitness remains a wildcard over two seasons. Los Angeles FC trails closely at 19% on perennial contender status, multiple recent Western Conference finals appearances, and roster depth amid playoff volatility. San Diego FC's surprising 9.7% reflects expansion hype with aggressive signings like Hirving Lozano and a deep-pocketed ownership aiming for instant impact. MLS parity—evident in diverse recent champions like Columbus Crew (2023) and LA Galaxy (2024 finalists)—plus looming SuperDraft, trades, and coaching shifts keep the top cluster tight, underscoring the league's knockout unpredictability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes