Trader consensus positions Shohei Ohtani as the clear NL Hank Aaron Award favorite at 36% implied probability for 2026, building on his back-to-back wins including 55 home runs in 2025, with FanGraphs Steamer projecting him for an MLB-best 44 homers and elite OPS as the Dodgers' DH. Juan Soto ranks second at 23.5% after a strong .921 OPS debut Mets season, bolstering New York's lineup. Kyle Schwarber's 17.0% share stems from leading the NL with 56 homers last year and recent spring training bombs, like his March 22 clout versus the Yankees, fueling power projections. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 17.9% benefits from full health post-ACL recovery, while no major injuries alter the top contenders entering Opening Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Ganador
MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Ganador
Shohei Ohtani 36%
Juan Soto 24%
Ronald Acuña Jr. 17.9%
Kyle Schwarber 17%
$114,411 Vol.
$114,411 Vol.
Nov 13, 2026
Shohei Ohtani
36%
Juan Soto
24%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
18%
Kyle Schwarber
17%
Fernando Tatís Jr.
3%
Bryce Harper
3%
Mookie Betts
2%
Francisco Lindor
1%
Ketel Marte
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Shohei Ohtani 36%
Juan Soto 24%
Ronald Acuña Jr. 17.9%
Kyle Schwarber 17%
$114,411 Vol.
$114,411 Vol.
Nov 13, 2026
Shohei Ohtani
$3,068 Vol.
36%
Juan Soto
$30,151 Vol.
24%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
$127 Vol.
18%
Kyle Schwarber
$80,398 Vol.
17%
Fernando Tatís Jr.
$88 Vol.
3%
Bryce Harper
$84 Vol.
3%
Mookie Betts
$84 Vol.
2%
Francisco Lindor
$103 Vol.
1%
Ketel Marte
$110 Vol.
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
$199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Shohei Ohtani as the clear NL Hank Aaron Award favorite at 36% implied probability for 2026, building on his back-to-back wins including 55 home runs in 2025, with FanGraphs Steamer projecting him for an MLB-best 44 homers and elite OPS as the Dodgers' DH. Juan Soto ranks second at 23.5% after a strong .921 OPS debut Mets season, bolstering New York's lineup. Kyle Schwarber's 17.0% share stems from leading the NL with 56 homers last year and recent spring training bombs, like his March 22 clout versus the Yankees, fueling power projections. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 17.9% benefits from full health post-ACL recovery, while no major injuries alter the top contenders entering Opening Day.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volumen
$114,411Fecha de finalización
Nov 13, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Shohei Ohtani as the clear NL Hank Aaron Award favorite at 36% implied probability for 2026, building on his back-to-back wins including 55 home runs in 2025, with FanGraphs Steamer projecting him for an MLB-best 44 homers and elite OPS as the Dodgers' DH. Juan Soto ranks second at 23.5% after a strong .921 OPS debut Mets season, bolstering New York's lineup. Kyle Schwarber's 17.0% share stems from leading the NL with 56 homers last year and recent spring training bombs, like his March 22 clout versus the Yankees, fueling power projections. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 17.9% benefits from full health post-ACL recovery, while no major injuries alter the top contenders entering Opening Day.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$114,411Fecha de finalización
Nov 13, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Shohei Ohtani as the clear NL Hank Aaron Award favorite at 36% implied probability for 2026, building on his back-to-back wins including 55 home runs in 2025, with FanGraphs Steamer projecting him for an MLB-best 44 homers and elite OPS as the Dodgers' DH. Juan Soto ranks second at 23.5% after a strong .921 OPS debut Mets season, bolstering New York's lineup. Kyle Schwarber's 17.0% share stems from leading the NL with 56 homers last year and recent spring training bombs, like his March 22 clout versus the Yankees, fueling power projections. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 17.9% benefits from full health post-ACL recovery, while no major injuries alter the top contenders entering Opening Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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