Michigan's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat based on its suburban Oakland County demographics, Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9, and the incumbent party's consistent performance, including a 58 percent margin in the prior cycle. With Democrat Haley Stevens declining to seek another House term while pursuing a Senate bid, an open-seat dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates ahead of the August 2026 contest, yet the general-election outlook shows little movement toward Republican viability. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for GOP contenders in this district, though a major national political shift or unusually strong Republican primary nominee could narrow the gap before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes del MI-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes del MI-11
$56,096 Vol.
$56,096 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
1%
$56,096 Vol.
$56,096 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$43,902 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$12,194 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat based on its suburban Oakland County demographics, Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9, and the incumbent party's consistent performance, including a 58 percent margin in the prior cycle. With Democrat Haley Stevens declining to seek another House term while pursuing a Senate bid, an open-seat dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates ahead of the August 2026 contest, yet the general-election outlook shows little movement toward Republican viability. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for GOP contenders in this district, though a major national political shift or unusually strong Republican primary nominee could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$56,096Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat based on its suburban Oakland County demographics, Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9, and the incumbent party's consistent performance, including a 58 percent margin in the prior cycle. With Democrat Haley Stevens declining to seek another House term while pursuing a Senate bid, an open-seat dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates ahead of the August 2026 contest, yet the general-election outlook shows little movement toward Republican viability. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for GOP contenders in this district, though a major national political shift or unusually strong Republican primary nominee could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$56,096Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat based on its suburban Oakland County demographics, Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9, and the incumbent party's consistent performance, including a 58 percent margin in the prior cycle. With Democrat Haley Stevens declining to seek another House term while pursuing a Senate bid, an open-seat dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates ahead of the August 2026 contest, yet the general-election outlook shows little movement toward Republican viability. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for GOP contenders in this district, though a major national political shift or unusually strong Republican primary nominee could narrow the gap before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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