Michigan's 11th congressional district, an open seat in Oakland County with a consistent Democratic lean of roughly nine points, features an incumbent Democrat opting not to seek re-election in favor of a U.S. Senate bid. Multiple candidates, including state Senator Jeremy Moss, are competing in the August 4 Democratic primary that effectively decides the November general election outcome. Historical voting patterns show Democratic nominees securing comfortable majorities in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district where the party's nominee has trailed by double digits in prior contests. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan realities and limited pathways for reversal absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes del MI-11
$56,263 Vol.
$56,263 Vol.
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
1%
$56,263 Vol.
$56,263 Vol.
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district, an open seat in Oakland County with a consistent Democratic lean of roughly nine points, features an incumbent Democrat opting not to seek re-election in favor of a U.S. Senate bid. Multiple candidates, including state Senator Jeremy Moss, are competing in the August 4 Democratic primary that effectively decides the November general election outcome. Historical voting patterns show Democratic nominees securing comfortable majorities in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district where the party's nominee has trailed by double digits in prior contests. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan realities and limited pathways for reversal absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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