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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10

Mike Bouchard 56%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 6%

Justin Kirk 4.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Mike Bouchard 56%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 6%

Justin Kirk 4.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Mike Bouchard

$2,122 Vol.

68%

Steven Elliott

$1,799 Vol.

23%

Casey Armitage

$2,348 Vol.

6%

Justin Kirk

$847 Vol.

5%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$2,116 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard leads trader consensus in the Michigan’s 10th Congressional District Republican primary due to his established name recognition as the son of longtime Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, recent military service in Iraq, and a clear fundraising advantage that reached more than $426,000 in the first quarter. These factors have secured endorsements from local Republican officials and donors, strengthening his position among likely primary voters ahead of the August 4 contest. Robert Lulgjuraj, a former prosecutor emphasizing law-and-order themes, holds second place but faces ongoing eligibility challenges over residency and petition signatures that could limit his ballot access and momentum. Lower-polling candidates Steven Elliott, Casey Armitage, and Justin Kirk trail with limited visibility and resources, leaving the race centered on the top two amid substantial undecided voters in available surveys.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$9,232
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard leads trader consensus in the Michigan’s 10th Congressional District Republican primary due to his established name recognition as the son of longtime Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, recent military service in Iraq, and a clear fundraising advantage that reached more than $426,000 in the first quarter. These factors have secured endorsements from local Republican officials and donors, strengthening his position among likely primary voters ahead of the August 4 contest. Robert Lulgjuraj, a former prosecutor emphasizing law-and-order themes, holds second place but faces ongoing eligibility challenges over residency and petition signatures that could limit his ballot access and momentum. Lower-polling candidates Steven Elliott, Casey Armitage, and Justin Kirk trail with limited visibility and resources, leaving the race centered on the top two amid substantial undecided voters in available surveys.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$9,232
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mike Bouchard" con 68%, seguido de "Robert Lulgjuraj" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 68¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 18, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" es "Mike Bouchard" con 68%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Robert Lulgjuraj" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.