The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, vacated by incumbent Republican John James as he pursues the governorship, has created uncertainty driving trader consensus to a slim 47% Republican edge over Democrats at 42%. A recent Strategic National poll (March 15-16) highlights a fragmented GOP primary with high undecideds (47-60%), where Michael Bouchard leads but lacks a clear frontrunner ahead of the August 4 primaries. Early general election polling from Public Policy Polling (January) shows hypothetical matchups within 2 points, reflecting the district's R+3 partisan lean offset by narrow past victories and competitive Democratic fundraising led by Eric Chung. Upcoming filing deadline (April 21) and primary outcomes could tip the balance in this battleground race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de la Cámara MI-10
Ganador de la elección de la Cámara MI-10
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Partido Demócrata
42%
Partido Republicano
51%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
42%
Partido Republicano
$206 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, vacated by incumbent Republican John James as he pursues the governorship, has created uncertainty driving trader consensus to a slim 47% Republican edge over Democrats at 42%. A recent Strategic National poll (March 15-16) highlights a fragmented GOP primary with high undecideds (47-60%), where Michael Bouchard leads but lacks a clear frontrunner ahead of the August 4 primaries. Early general election polling from Public Policy Polling (January) shows hypothetical matchups within 2 points, reflecting the district's R+3 partisan lean offset by narrow past victories and competitive Democratic fundraising led by Eric Chung. Upcoming filing deadline (April 21) and primary outcomes could tip the balance in this battleground race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volumen
$206Fecha de finalización
Nov 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, vacated by incumbent Republican John James as he pursues the governorship, has created uncertainty driving trader consensus to a slim 47% Republican edge over Democrats at 42%. A recent Strategic National poll (March 15-16) highlights a fragmented GOP primary with high undecideds (47-60%), where Michael Bouchard leads but lacks a clear frontrunner ahead of the August 4 primaries. Early general election polling from Public Policy Polling (January) shows hypothetical matchups within 2 points, reflecting the district's R+3 partisan lean offset by narrow past victories and competitive Democratic fundraising led by Eric Chung. Upcoming filing deadline (April 21) and primary outcomes could tip the balance in this battleground race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$206Fecha de finalización
Nov 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, vacated by incumbent Republican John James as he pursues the governorship, has created uncertainty driving trader consensus to a slim 47% Republican edge over Democrats at 42%. A recent Strategic National poll (March 15-16) highlights a fragmented GOP primary with high undecideds (47-60%), where Michael Bouchard leads but lacks a clear frontrunner ahead of the August 4 primaries. Early general election polling from Public Policy Polling (January) shows hypothetical matchups within 2 points, reflecting the district's R+3 partisan lean offset by narrow past victories and competitive Democratic fundraising led by Eric Chung. Upcoming filing deadline (April 21) and primary outcomes could tip the balance in this battleground race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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