Michigan's 9th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 66.8 percent margin in the prior cycle. Republican Representative Lisa McClain faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 nominating contests, while Democratic primary contenders have shown modest fundraising and no broad polling strength. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee near 91 percent implied probability. Potential shifts could stem from a pronounced national partisan swing, an unforeseen primary development, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout across the northern Detroit exurbs and Thumb region counties before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMI-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MI-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$10,172 Vol.
$10,172 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Demócrata
8%
$10,172 Vol.
$10,172 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,910 Vol.
91%
Partido Demócrata
$1,262 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 9th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 66.8 percent margin in the prior cycle. Republican Representative Lisa McClain faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 nominating contests, while Democratic primary contenders have shown modest fundraising and no broad polling strength. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee near 91 percent implied probability. Potential shifts could stem from a pronounced national partisan swing, an unforeseen primary development, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout across the northern Detroit exurbs and Thumb region counties before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$10,172Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 9th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 66.8 percent margin in the prior cycle. Republican Representative Lisa McClain faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 nominating contests, while Democratic primary contenders have shown modest fundraising and no broad polling strength. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee near 91 percent implied probability. Potential shifts could stem from a pronounced national partisan swing, an unforeseen primary development, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout across the northern Detroit exurbs and Thumb region counties before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,172Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 9th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 66.8 percent margin in the prior cycle. Republican Representative Lisa McClain faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 nominating contests, while Democratic primary contenders have shown modest fundraising and no broad polling strength. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee near 91 percent implied probability. Potential shifts could stem from a pronounced national partisan swing, an unforeseen primary development, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout across the northern Detroit exurbs and Thumb region counties before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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