Name: "Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater" Metacritic Score
Start: 2026-02-28T10:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-02-28T10:00:00.000Z

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This market will resolve according to the Metascore listed on Metacritic for "Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater" (https://www.metacritic.com/game/metal-gear-solid-delta-snake-eater/) as of seven days after the release, at 11:59 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

If this game is not released by February 28, 2026, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

60–69

70–79

80–89

"Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater" Metacritic Score

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

¿GTA VI fue lanzado antes de junio de 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Solo Mio (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on February 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Will "Solo Mio" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.

If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Costará la Steam Machine $700 o más al salir al mercado?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Algún modelo GPT de OpenAI obtendrá al menos un 45% en el examen FrontierMath?

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


¿El lanzamiento de GTA 6 se ha pospuesto de nuevo?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for The Strangers - Chapter 3 (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on February 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

¿Nuevo juego de Half-Life para el 30 de junio?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Whistle (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on February 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Will "Whistle" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.

If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.

This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.

If GTA 6 is not released by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

¿Costará GTA 6 más de $100?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Algún modelo Anthropic Claude obtendrá al menos un 50% en el examen FrontierMath?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for the next GTA (GTA VI) is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An "official trailer" is defined as a video clearly labelled and marketed as a trailer for the game in question. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games.

This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".

Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask officially launches a token by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


¿MetaMask lanzará un token antes del 30 de septiembre de 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

¿Logrará un modelo Anthropic Claude obtener al menos un 30% en el Último Examen de la Humanidad?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Algún modelo xAI Grok obtendrá al menos un 25% en el examen FrontierMath?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

¿Logrará GPT de OpenAI al menos un 35% en el Último Examen de la Humanidad?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.

For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include: 
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Añadirá Valve la primera operación de CS2 antes del 1 de abril de 2026?

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "No release by February 28" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is not made available to the general public by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Anthropic's Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g., Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

¿No se lanzará Claude 5 antes del 28 de febrero de 2026?

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

"Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater" Metacritic Score

<60
$26 Vol.
No

60–69
$20 Vol.
No

70–79
$10 Vol.
No

80–89
$57 Vol.
Yes

90+
$40 Vol.
No

Contexto del mercado

"Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater" Metacritic Score

Normas

"Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater" Metacritic Score

Contexto del mercado

"Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater" Metacritic Score

Acerca de

"Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater" Metacritic Score

<60$26 Vol.No

60–69$20 Vol.No

70–79$10 Vol.No

80–89$57 Vol.Yes

90+$40 Vol.No

Contexto del mercado

"Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater" Metacritic Score

Normas

"Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater" Metacritic Score

Contexto del mercado

"Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater" Metacritic Score

Acerca de

<60
$26 Vol.
No

60–69
$20 Vol.
No

70–79
$10 Vol.
No

80–89
$57 Vol.
Yes

90+
$40 Vol.
No