Massachusetts's strong Democratic lean in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead in recent primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton, while Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton lack comparable statewide visibility or resources. The state's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates in prior cycles, combined with limited evidence of a competitive general-election matchup, sustains the wide implied probability gap. A late primary upset, significant national political shift, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin before the November general election, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
$12,987 Vol.
$12,987 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
95%
Republicano
4%
$12,987 Vol.
$12,987 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$8,383 Vol.
95%
Republicano
$4,603 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's strong Democratic lean in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead in recent primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton, while Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton lack comparable statewide visibility or resources. The state's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates in prior cycles, combined with limited evidence of a competitive general-election matchup, sustains the wide implied probability gap. A late primary upset, significant national political shift, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin before the November general election, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$12,987Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's strong Democratic lean in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead in recent primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton, while Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton lack comparable statewide visibility or resources. The state's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates in prior cycles, combined with limited evidence of a competitive general-election matchup, sustains the wide implied probability gap. A late primary upset, significant national political shift, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin before the November general election, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$12,987Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's strong Democratic lean in federal elections underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead in recent primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton, while Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton lack comparable statewide visibility or resources. The state's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates in prior cycles, combined with limited evidence of a competitive general-election matchup, sustains the wide implied probability gap. A late primary upset, significant national political shift, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin before the November general election, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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