Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage, reinforced by consistent voter registration edges and no Republican Senate victory since 2010, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term amid a September primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic regardless of the nominee. Recent polling shows Markey ahead in the primary but underscores limited general-election risk. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented statewide realignment or major unforeseen disruption, such as a late scandal or sharp national political shift, to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
$12,986 Vol.
$12,986 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
95%
Republicano
4%
$12,986 Vol.
$12,986 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$8,382 Vol.
95%
Republicano
$4,603 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage, reinforced by consistent voter registration edges and no Republican Senate victory since 2010, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term amid a September primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic regardless of the nominee. Recent polling shows Markey ahead in the primary but underscores limited general-election risk. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented statewide realignment or major unforeseen disruption, such as a late scandal or sharp national political shift, to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$12,986Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage, reinforced by consistent voter registration edges and no Republican Senate victory since 2010, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term amid a September primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic regardless of the nominee. Recent polling shows Markey ahead in the primary but underscores limited general-election risk. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented statewide realignment or major unforeseen disruption, such as a late scandal or sharp national political shift, to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$12,986Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage, reinforced by consistent voter registration edges and no Republican Senate victory since 2010, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term amid a September primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic regardless of the nominee. Recent polling shows Markey ahead in the primary but underscores limited general-election risk. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented statewide realignment or major unforeseen disruption, such as a late scandal or sharp national political shift, to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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