Incremento de la temperatura en enero de 2026 (ºC)
1,10–1,14 ºC 47%
1,05–1,09ºC 34%
1,15–1,19°C 13%
1,00–1,04ºC 5%
$390,932 Vol.
$390,932 Vol.
Feb 10, 2026
<1,00ºC
$30,545 Vol.
3%
<1,00ºC
$30,545 Vol.
3%
1,00–1,04ºC
$85,867 Vol.
5%
1,00–1,04ºC
$85,867 Vol.
5%
1,05–1,09ºC
$57,468 Vol.
34%
1,05–1,09ºC
$57,468 Vol.
34%
1,10–1,14 ºC
$40,022 Vol.
47%
1,10–1,14 ºC
$40,022 Vol.
47%
1,15–1,19°C
$52,449 Vol.
13%
1,15–1,19°C
$52,449 Vol.
13%
>1,19ºC
$124,582 Vol.
2%
>1,19ºC
$124,582 Vol.
2%
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Creado en: Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$390,932Fecha de finalización
Feb 10, 2026Creado en
Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incremento de la temperatura en enero de 2026 (ºC)
1,10–1,14 ºC 47%
1,05–1,09ºC 34%
1,15–1,19°C 13%
1,00–1,04ºC 5%
$390,932 Vol.
$390,932 Vol.
Feb 10, 2026
<1,00ºC
$30,545 Vol.
3%
1,00–1,04ºC
$85,867 Vol.
5%
1,05–1,09ºC
$57,468 Vol.
34%
1,10–1,14 ºC
$40,022 Vol.
47%
1,15–1,19°C
$52,449 Vol.
13%
>1,19ºC
$124,582 Vol.
2%
Acerca de
Volumen
$390,932Fecha de finalización
Feb 10, 2026Creado en
Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.