Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan?

>99% chance

$38,905 Vol.

Reglas

On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah."

This market will resolve to "Yes” Israel and Hamas agree to a hostage deal by 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), March 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note that an announcement by the resolution date of an agreed hostage deal between Israel and Hamas will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when and if the hostage deal actually takes place. Note that any hostage deal agreement will suffice, regardless of the number of hostages agreed to be released.

The primary resolution source will be formal acknowledgments from Hamas and Israel. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$38,905
Fecha de finalización
Mar 10, 2024
Creado en
Feb 20, 2024, 3:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan?

>99% chance

$38,905 Vol.

Acerca de

On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah."

This market will resolve to "Yes” Israel and Hamas agree to a hostage deal by 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), March 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note that an announcement by the resolution date of an agreed hostage deal between Israel and Hamas will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when and if the hostage deal actually takes place. Note that any hostage deal agreement will suffice, regardless of the number of hostages agreed to be released.

The primary resolution source will be formal acknowledgments from Hamas and Israel. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$38,905
Fecha de finalización
Mar 10, 2024
Creado en
Feb 20, 2024, 3:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.