Traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities around 45% to several adjacent ranges for the May 2026 ISM Services PMI, reflecting high uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release. Recent April data showed the index easing to 53.6 amid a sharp 7.1-point drop in new orders—the steepest decline in three years—while employment remained in contraction for a second month and the prices index held at 70.7, the highest since late 2022, driven by elevated energy and commodity costs from Middle East geopolitical tensions. These mixed signals on demand momentum versus persistent cost pressures have kept market-implied odds evenly balanced, with swing factors including any rebound in orders or further softening in labor market readings likely to determine the final outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado55.0+ 91%
49.0–49.9 47%
47.0–47.9 47%
52.0–52.9 46%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 jun 2026
<47.0
22%
47.0–47.9
47%
48,0–48,9
23%
49.0–49.9
47%
50.0–50.9
45%
51.0–51.9
22%
52.0–52.9
46%
53.0–53.9
44%
54.0–54.9
46%
55.0+
91%
55.0+ 91%
49.0–49.9 47%
47.0–47.9 47%
52.0–52.9 46%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 jun 2026
<47.0
$235 Vol.
22%
47.0–47.9
$61 Vol.
47%
48,0–48,9
$61 Vol.
23%
49.0–49.9
$61 Vol.
47%
50.0–50.9
$61 Vol.
45%
51.0–51.9
$61 Vol.
22%
52.0–52.9
$61 Vol.
46%
53.0–53.9
$119 Vol.
44%
54.0–54.9
$61 Vol.
46%
55.0+
$61 Vol.
91%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities around 45% to several adjacent ranges for the May 2026 ISM Services PMI, reflecting high uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release. Recent April data showed the index easing to 53.6 amid a sharp 7.1-point drop in new orders—the steepest decline in three years—while employment remained in contraction for a second month and the prices index held at 70.7, the highest since late 2022, driven by elevated energy and commodity costs from Middle East geopolitical tensions. These mixed signals on demand momentum versus persistent cost pressures have kept market-implied odds evenly balanced, with swing factors including any rebound in orders or further softening in labor market readings likely to determine the final outcome.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Volumen
$844Fecha de finalización
1 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities around 45% to several adjacent ranges for the May 2026 ISM Services PMI, reflecting high uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release. Recent April data showed the index easing to 53.6 amid a sharp 7.1-point drop in new orders—the steepest decline in three years—while employment remained in contraction for a second month and the prices index held at 70.7, the highest since late 2022, driven by elevated energy and commodity costs from Middle East geopolitical tensions. These mixed signals on demand momentum versus persistent cost pressures have kept market-implied odds evenly balanced, with swing factors including any rebound in orders or further softening in labor market readings likely to determine the final outcome.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$844Fecha de finalización
1 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities around 45% to several adjacent ranges for the May 2026 ISM Services PMI, reflecting high uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release. Recent April data showed the index easing to 53.6 amid a sharp 7.1-point drop in new orders—the steepest decline in three years—while employment remained in contraction for a second month and the prices index held at 70.7, the highest since late 2022, driven by elevated energy and commodity costs from Middle East geopolitical tensions. These mixed signals on demand momentum versus persistent cost pressures have kept market-implied odds evenly balanced, with swing factors including any rebound in orders or further softening in labor market readings likely to determine the final outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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