Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jennifer Todd emerged from a fragmented field to claim her party's nod. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its established partisan lean and historical voting patterns. These factors have produced strong trader consensus around a Republican general-election victory on November 3. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic performance, or an unforeseen turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with this structural profile.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-15
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-15
$21,684 Vol.
$21,684 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$21,684 Vol.
$21,684 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$15,486 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$6,198 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jennifer Todd emerged from a fragmented field to claim her party's nod. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its established partisan lean and historical voting patterns. These factors have produced strong trader consensus around a Republican general-election victory on November 3. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic performance, or an unforeseen turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with this structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$21,684Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jennifer Todd emerged from a fragmented field to claim her party's nod. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its established partisan lean and historical voting patterns. These factors have produced strong trader consensus around a Republican general-election victory on November 3. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic performance, or an unforeseen turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with this structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,684Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jennifer Todd emerged from a fragmented field to claim her party's nod. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its established partisan lean and historical voting patterns. These factors have produced strong trader consensus around a Republican general-election victory on November 3. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic performance, or an unforeseen turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with this structural profile.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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