Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$51,715 Vol.

On May 20, prosecutor for the International Criminal Court (ICC) Karim Khan announced he had requested arrest warrants for war crimes and crimes against humanity for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the leaders of Hamas.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICC officially issues an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu between May 19, and November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" .

If the ICC announces that they have declined prosecutor Karim Khan's request for a warrant for Netanyahu, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Criminal Court, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$51,715
Fecha de finalización
Nov 5, 2024
Creado en
May 20, 2024, 11:04 AM ET
On May 20, prosecutor for the International Criminal Court (ICC) Karim Khan announced he had requested arrest warrants for war crimes and crimes against humanity for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the leaders of Hamas. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICC officially issues an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu between May 19, and November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" . If the ICC announces that they have declined prosecutor Karim Khan's request for a warrant for Netanyahu, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Criminal Court, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?" has generated $51.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 20, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$51,715 Vol.

On May 20, prosecutor for the International Criminal Court (ICC) Karim Khan announced he had requested arrest warrants for war crimes and crimes against humanity for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the leaders of Hamas.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICC officially issues an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu between May 19, and November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" .

If the ICC announces that they have declined prosecutor Karim Khan's request for a warrant for Netanyahu, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Criminal Court, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$51,715
Fecha de finalización
Nov 5, 2024
Creado en
May 20, 2024, 11:04 AM ET
On May 20, prosecutor for the International Criminal Court (ICC) Karim Khan announced he had requested arrest warrants for war crimes and crimes against humanity for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the leaders of Hamas. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICC officially issues an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu between May 19, and November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" . If the ICC announces that they have declined prosecutor Karim Khan's request for a warrant for Netanyahu, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Criminal Court, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?" has generated $51.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 20, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.