Market icon

How many viewers will the debate get?

65-70m 100.0%

<50m <1%

50-55m <1%

55-60m <1%

Polymarket

$458,945 Vol.

This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has fewer than 50,000,000 viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.
Volumen
$458,945
Fecha de finalización
Sep 10, 2024
Creado en
Sep 4, 2024, 6:59 PM ET
This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has fewer than 50,000,000 viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many viewers will the debate get?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "65-70m" at 100%, followed by "<50m" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many viewers will the debate get?" has generated $458.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 4, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many viewers will the debate get?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many viewers will the debate get?" is "65-70m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<50m" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many viewers will the debate get?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

How many viewers will the debate get?

65-70m 100.0%

<50m <1%

50-55m <1%

55-60m <1%

Polymarket

$458,945 Vol.

<50m

$79,948 Vol.

No

50-55m

$71,090 Vol.

No

55-60m

$90,725 Vol.

No

60-65m

$53,422 Vol.

No

65-70m

$71,077 Vol.

Yes

70-75m

$29,960 Vol.

No

75m+

$62,722 Vol.

No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many viewers will the debate get?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "65-70m" at 100%, followed by "<50m" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many viewers will the debate get?" has generated $458.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 4, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many viewers will the debate get?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many viewers will the debate get?" is "65-70m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<50m" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many viewers will the debate get?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.