Market icon

Hollywood Epstein Parlay

Market icon

Hollywood Epstein Parlay

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$4,533 Vol.

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$4,533 Vol.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US government (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed, or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of at least two of the following individuals by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. The individuals covered by this market are: David Copperfield, Kevin Spacey, Ellen DeGeneres, Alec Baldwin, Sean “Diddy” Combs, Tom Hanks, Robert Downey Jr, Oprah Winfrey, Michael Jackson, Jay-Z, Leonardo DiCaprio, Quentin Tarantino, Anderson Cooper, Stephen Colbert, Magic Johnson, LeBron James, George Lucas, Cate Blanchett, Cameron Diaz, Bruce Willis, Ben Affleck, and Jennifer Lopez. Any mention of at least two listed individuals, regardless of whether they are connected to nefarious or illegal activities, will qualify. If the US government releases files that do not contain mention of at least two listed individuals, this market will remain open until the resolution date to allow for additional files to be released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US government (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed, or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of at least two of the following individuals by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.

The individuals covered by this market are:

David Copperfield, Kevin Spacey, Ellen DeGeneres, Alec Baldwin, Sean “Diddy” Combs, Tom Hanks, Robert Downey Jr, Oprah Winfrey, Michael Jackson, Jay-Z, Leonardo DiCaprio, Quentin Tarantino, Anderson Cooper, Stephen Colbert, Magic Johnson, LeBron James, George Lucas, Cate Blanchett, Cameron Diaz, Bruce Willis, Ben Affleck, and Jennifer Lopez.

Any mention of at least two listed individuals, regardless of whether they are connected to nefarious or illegal activities, will qualify.

If the US government releases files that do not contain mention of at least two listed individuals, this market will remain open until the resolution date to allow for additional files to be released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$4,533
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2025
Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2025, 2:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to Yes if the US government (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed, or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of at least two of the following individuals by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. The individuals covered by this market are: David Copperfield, Kevin Spacey, Ellen DeGeneres, Alec Baldwin, Sean “Diddy” Combs, Tom Hanks, Robert Downey Jr, Oprah Winfrey, Michael Jackson, Jay-Z, Leonardo DiCaprio, Quentin Tarantino, Anderson Cooper, Stephen Colbert, Magic Johnson, LeBron James, George Lucas, Cate Blanchett, Cameron Diaz, Bruce Willis, Ben Affleck, and Jennifer Lopez. Any mention of at least two listed individuals, regardless of whether they are connected to nefarious or illegal activities, will qualify. If the US government releases files that do not contain mention of at least two listed individuals, this market will remain open until the resolution date to allow for additional files to be released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to Yes if the US government (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed, or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of at least two of the following individuals by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. The individuals covered by this market are: David Copperfield, Kevin Spacey, Ellen DeGeneres, Alec Baldwin, Sean “Diddy” Combs, Tom Hanks, Robert Downey Jr, Oprah Winfrey, Michael Jackson, Jay-Z, Leonardo DiCaprio, Quentin Tarantino, Anderson Cooper, Stephen Colbert, Magic Johnson, LeBron James, George Lucas, Cate Blanchett, Cameron Diaz, Bruce Willis, Ben Affleck, and Jennifer Lopez. Any mention of at least two listed individuals, regardless of whether they are connected to nefarious or illegal activities, will qualify. If the US government releases files that do not contain mention of at least two listed individuals, this market will remain open until the resolution date to allow for additional files to be released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US government (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed, or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of at least two of the following individuals by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.

The individuals covered by this market are:

David Copperfield, Kevin Spacey, Ellen DeGeneres, Alec Baldwin, Sean “Diddy” Combs, Tom Hanks, Robert Downey Jr, Oprah Winfrey, Michael Jackson, Jay-Z, Leonardo DiCaprio, Quentin Tarantino, Anderson Cooper, Stephen Colbert, Magic Johnson, LeBron James, George Lucas, Cate Blanchett, Cameron Diaz, Bruce Willis, Ben Affleck, and Jennifer Lopez.

Any mention of at least two listed individuals, regardless of whether they are connected to nefarious or illegal activities, will qualify.

If the US government releases files that do not contain mention of at least two listed individuals, this market will remain open until the resolution date to allow for additional files to be released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$4,533
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2025
Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2025, 2:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to Yes if the US government (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed, or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of at least two of the following individuals by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. The individuals covered by this market are: David Copperfield, Kevin Spacey, Ellen DeGeneres, Alec Baldwin, Sean “Diddy” Combs, Tom Hanks, Robert Downey Jr, Oprah Winfrey, Michael Jackson, Jay-Z, Leonardo DiCaprio, Quentin Tarantino, Anderson Cooper, Stephen Colbert, Magic Johnson, LeBron James, George Lucas, Cate Blanchett, Cameron Diaz, Bruce Willis, Ben Affleck, and Jennifer Lopez. Any mention of at least two listed individuals, regardless of whether they are connected to nefarious or illegal activities, will qualify. If the US government releases files that do not contain mention of at least two listed individuals, this market will remain open until the resolution date to allow for additional files to be released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Hollywood Epstein Parlay" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Hollywood Epstein Parlay" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 27, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Hollywood Epstein Parlay", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Hollywood Epstein Parlay" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Hollywood Epstein Parlay" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.