Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 91%
February 14 2.0%
February 10 1.8%
February 7 1.8%
$74,282 Vol.
$74,282 Vol.
February 3
$4,627 Vol.
1%
February 3
$4,627 Vol.
1%
February 4
$1,410 Vol.
<1%
February 4
$1,410 Vol.
<1%
February 5
$1,491 Vol.
1%
February 5
$1,491 Vol.
1%
February 6
$1,205 Vol.
1%
February 6
$1,205 Vol.
1%
February 7
$12,090 Vol.
2%
February 7
$12,090 Vol.
2%
February 8
$1,373 Vol.
1%
February 8
$1,373 Vol.
1%
February 9
$1,240 Vol.
1%
February 9
$1,240 Vol.
1%
February 10
$1,463 Vol.
2%
February 10
$1,463 Vol.
2%
February 11
$1,244 Vol.
<1%
February 11
$1,244 Vol.
<1%
February 12
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
February 12
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
February 13
$1,200 Vol.
<1%
February 13
$1,200 Vol.
<1%
February 14
$1,907 Vol.
2%
February 14
$1,907 Vol.
2%
No release by February 14
$12,934 Vol.
91%
No release by February 14
$12,934 Vol.
91%
Normas
This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Creado en: Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 91%
February 14 2.0%
February 10 1.8%
February 7 1.8%
$74,282 Vol.
$74,282 Vol.
February 3
1%
February 4
<1%
February 5
1%
February 6
1%
February 7
2%
February 8
1%
February 9
1%
February 10
2%
February 11
<1%
February 12
<1%
February 13
<1%
February 14
2%
No release by February 14
91%
Acerca de
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.