Darren Soto secured a narrow victory in Florida’s 9th Congressional District on November 3, 2026, with 50.3% of the vote to Dan Green’s 49.7%, a margin of roughly 1,500 votes that exceeded the automatic recount threshold. The Associated Press called the race for the Democratic incumbent shortly after polls closed, citing complete precinct reporting across the seven counties in the newly redrawn district. Republican redistricting efforts added Republican-leaning areas such as Indian River County, yet Soto’s stronger margins in Osceola and Orange counties offset those shifts. With final unofficial results certified by state officials and no legal challenges reported, trader consensus has moved to near-certainty on Soto’s reelection ahead of the November 17 canvassing commission vote. Late overseas or provisional ballots remain the only theoretical variables that could alter the certified outcome.