The open seat created by incumbent Republican Neal Dunn’s January 2026 retirement has drawn a crowded Republican primary featuring well-funded candidates such as Keith Gross and Evan Power, alongside a fragmented Democratic field that includes Yen Bailey. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and its history of Republican general-election victories. Primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026, and the November 3 general election remain the next scheduled milestones that could influence final positioning. Trader consensus at 83% Republican reflects these structural factors rather than any single late development.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Demócrata
17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,364 Vol.
83%
Partido Demócrata
$2,615 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by incumbent Republican Neal Dunn’s January 2026 retirement has drawn a crowded Republican primary featuring well-funded candidates such as Keith Gross and Evan Power, alongside a fragmented Democratic field that includes Yen Bailey. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and its history of Republican general-election victories. Primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026, and the November 3 general election remain the next scheduled milestones that could influence final positioning. Trader consensus at 83% Republican reflects these structural factors rather than any single late development.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$6,979Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by incumbent Republican Neal Dunn’s January 2026 retirement has drawn a crowded Republican primary featuring well-funded candidates such as Keith Gross and Evan Power, alongside a fragmented Democratic field that includes Yen Bailey. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and its history of Republican general-election victories. Primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026, and the November 3 general election remain the next scheduled milestones that could influence final positioning. Trader consensus at 83% Republican reflects these structural factors rather than any single late development.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$6,979Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by incumbent Republican Neal Dunn’s January 2026 retirement has drawn a crowded Republican primary featuring well-funded candidates such as Keith Gross and Evan Power, alongside a fragmented Democratic field that includes Yen Bailey. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and its history of Republican general-election victories. Primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026, and the November 3 general election remain the next scheduled milestones that could influence final positioning. Trader consensus at 83% Republican reflects these structural factors rather than any single late development.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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