Market icon
Política·Alcalde De Nueva York

First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?

Market icon
Política·Alcalde De Nueva York

First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$43,436 Vol.

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$43,436 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred.

If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Volumen
$43,436
Fecha de finalización
24 jun 2025
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred.

If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Volumen
$43,436
Fecha de finalización
24 jun 2025
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" ha generado $43.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.