Wales holds a 56% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in this international friendly at Cardiff City Stadium, bolstered by home advantage and an unbeaten record in the last five head-to-heads against Northern Ireland, including three wins. Both sides enter following penalty shootout heartbreak in World Cup 2026 play-off semis—Wales falling 2-4 on pens to Bosnia after a 1-1 draw, and Northern Ireland losing 0-2 to Italy—prompting experimental squads amid key absences. Wales misses veterans Ben Davies (broken ankle), Chris Mepham, and Connor Roberts, with Ethan Ampadu captaining, while Northern Ireland lacks Dan Ballard and faces midfield doubts after Ali McCann's recent withdrawal. The 25.5% draw pricing reflects the low-stakes nature and defensive setups, with Northern Ireland's 18.5% underscoring their injury-hit underdog status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

If Wales wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Wales wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wales holds a 56% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in this international friendly at Cardiff City Stadium, bolstered by home advantage and an unbeaten record in the last five head-to-heads against Northern Ireland, including three wins. Both sides enter following penalty shootout heartbreak in World Cup 2026 play-off semis—Wales falling 2-4 on pens to Bosnia after a 1-1 draw, and Northern Ireland losing 0-2 to Italy—prompting experimental squads amid key absences. Wales misses veterans Ben Davies (broken ankle), Chris Mepham, and Connor Roberts, with Ethan Ampadu captaining, while Northern Ireland lacks Dan Ballard and faces midfield doubts after Ali McCann's recent withdrawal. The 25.5% draw pricing reflects the low-stakes nature and defensive setups, with Northern Ireland's 18.5% underscoring their injury-hit underdog status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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