George Russell leads trader consensus for Japanese Grand Prix pole at 53.5% implied probability, driven by Mercedes' commanding pace in Suzuka practice sessions where he topped FP1 and FP2 on high-speed corners suiting the W16's aero efficiency. Teammate Andrea Kimi Antonelli's breakout P2 in FP2 has boosted his 22% odds, reflecting the rookie's rapid adaptation and soft-tire quali sim strength amid Mercedes' early-season form. Charles Leclerc's 15% share stems from Ferrari's consistent top-three practice runs, though undercut by minor setup tweaks. Lewis Hamilton's 8.5% trails due to acclimation challenges in the new car, while others fade on weaker long-run data and historical Suzuka struggles. Dry qualifying forecast reinforces status quo momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGeorge Russell 59%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 22%
Charles Leclerc 16%
Lewis Hamilton 8.5%
George Russell
53%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
22%
Charles Leclerc
16%
Lewis Hamilton
9%
Lando Norris
5%
Max Verstappen
3%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
George Russell 59%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 22%
Charles Leclerc 16%
Lewis Hamilton 8.5%
George Russell
53%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
22%
Charles Leclerc
16%
Lewis Hamilton
9%
Lando Norris
5%
Max Verstappen
3%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...George Russell leads trader consensus for Japanese Grand Prix pole at 53.5% implied probability, driven by Mercedes' commanding pace in Suzuka practice sessions where he topped FP1 and FP2 on high-speed corners suiting the W16's aero efficiency. Teammate Andrea Kimi Antonelli's breakout P2 in FP2 has boosted his 22% odds, reflecting the rookie's rapid adaptation and soft-tire quali sim strength amid Mercedes' early-season form. Charles Leclerc's 15% share stems from Ferrari's consistent top-three practice runs, though undercut by minor setup tweaks. Lewis Hamilton's 8.5% trails due to acclimation challenges in the new car, while others fade on weaker long-run data and historical Suzuka struggles. Dry qualifying forecast reinforces status quo momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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