Mercedes enters the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship as the clear trader consensus favorite at 75% implied probability, fueled by their late-2024 surge with consistent podium challenges and upgrades enhancing aero efficiency and power unit reliability in races like Las Vegas, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi. Red Bull's second-half slump, exacerbated by Sergio Perez's underperformance and reliability woes, has eroded their dominance, dropping them to 2.3%, while McLaren's strong duo of Norris and Piastri holds steady at 4.5% amid concerns over sustaining peak form. Ferrari, at 14%, benefits from Lewis Hamilton's arrival alongside Leclerc but faces integration risks and recent qualifying inconsistencies; lower tiers reflect expansion teams like Cadillac and Audi's unproven machinery ahead of the Bahrain opener.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMercedes 78%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.7%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$7,353,521 Vol.
$7,353,521 Vol.
Mercedes
78%
Ferrari
14%
McLaren
4%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
2%
Cadillac
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Título del grupo: Haas
1%
Título del grupo: Alpine
1%
Williams
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Audi
<1%
Mercedes 78%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.7%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$7,353,521 Vol.
$7,353,521 Vol.
Mercedes
78%
Ferrari
14%
McLaren
4%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
2%
Cadillac
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Título del grupo: Haas
1%
Título del grupo: Alpine
1%
Williams
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Audi
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes enters the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship as the clear trader consensus favorite at 75% implied probability, fueled by their late-2024 surge with consistent podium challenges and upgrades enhancing aero efficiency and power unit reliability in races like Las Vegas, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi. Red Bull's second-half slump, exacerbated by Sergio Perez's underperformance and reliability woes, has eroded their dominance, dropping them to 2.3%, while McLaren's strong duo of Norris and Piastri holds steady at 4.5% amid concerns over sustaining peak form. Ferrari, at 14%, benefits from Lewis Hamilton's arrival alongside Leclerc but faces integration risks and recent qualifying inconsistencies; lower tiers reflect expansion teams like Cadillac and Audi's unproven machinery ahead of the Bahrain opener.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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