Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 98 points after the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, drives trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, fueled by 1-2 finishes in both races via George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli, who top the drivers' standings on 51 and 47 points. Their W17 car's superior power unit under new regulations delivers race pace and qualifying dominance beyond engine alone, widening the gap over Ferrari's 67 points from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's consistent podiums. McLaren lags at 18 points despite Oscar Piastri's flashes, while Red Bull's midfield struggles with reliability drop to 12 points, emphasizing Mercedes' early benchmark in the 24-race calendar.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMercedes 79%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 3.9%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 1.5%
$7,722,129 Vol.
$7,722,129 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
79%
Ferrari
11%
McLaren
4%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
2%
Williams
1%
Cadillac
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Título del grupo: Haas
1%
Título del grupo: Alpine
1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Audi
<1%
Mercedes 79%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 3.9%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 1.5%
$7,722,129 Vol.
$7,722,129 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
$499,123 Vol.
79%
Ferrari
$248,869 Vol.
11%
McLaren
$992,487 Vol.
4%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
$381,190 Vol.
2%
Williams
$859,798 Vol.
1%
Cadillac
$907,162 Vol.
1%
Racing Bulls
$820,032 Vol.
1%
Título del grupo: Haas
$950,420 Vol.
1%
Título del grupo: Alpine
$916,206 Vol.
1%
Aston Martin
$592,950 Vol.
<1%
Audi
$554,327 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 98 points after the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, drives trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, fueled by 1-2 finishes in both races via George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli, who top the drivers' standings on 51 and 47 points. Their W17 car's superior power unit under new regulations delivers race pace and qualifying dominance beyond engine alone, widening the gap over Ferrari's 67 points from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's consistent podiums. McLaren lags at 18 points despite Oscar Piastri's flashes, while Red Bull's midfield struggles with reliability drop to 12 points, emphasizing Mercedes' early benchmark in the 24-race calendar.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volumen
$7,722,129Fecha de finalización
Dec 6, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 98 points after the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, drives trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, fueled by 1-2 finishes in both races via George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli, who top the drivers' standings on 51 and 47 points. Their W17 car's superior power unit under new regulations delivers race pace and qualifying dominance beyond engine alone, widening the gap over Ferrari's 67 points from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's consistent podiums. McLaren lags at 18 points despite Oscar Piastri's flashes, while Red Bull's midfield struggles with reliability drop to 12 points, emphasizing Mercedes' early benchmark in the 24-race calendar.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volumen
$7,722,129Fecha de finalización
Dec 6, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 98 points after the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, drives trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, fueled by 1-2 finishes in both races via George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli, who top the drivers' standings on 51 and 47 points. Their W17 car's superior power unit under new regulations delivers race pace and qualifying dominance beyond engine alone, widening the gap over Ferrari's 67 points from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's consistent podiums. McLaren lags at 18 points despite Oscar Piastri's flashes, while Red Bull's midfield struggles with reliability drop to 12 points, emphasizing Mercedes' early benchmark in the 24-race calendar.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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