Mercedes holds a commanding 76.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market, driven by recent shakedown tests showcasing their 2025 W16 car's race pace and tire management, alongside George Russell's proven consistency and rookie Kimi Antonelli's promising debut pace in FP1 sessions. Ferrari trails at 14% amid integration risks for Lewis Hamilton pairing with Charles Leclerc, despite the seven-time champion's arrival boosting optimism but tempered by early reliability concerns in pre-season filming days. McLaren's 3.5% reflects defending form fading with Lando Norris' contract uncertainties, while Red Bull's 2.1% stems from engine partnership shifts and Max Verstappen's potential distractions; lower tiers like Aston Martin and Williams hover under 1% due to persistent development gaps and budget constraints highlighted in recent FIA briefings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMercedes 77%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.6%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$6,802,763 Vol.
$6,802,763 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
14%

McLaren
4%

Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Williams
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Título del grupo: Haas
1%

Título del grupo: Alpine
1%
Mercedes 77%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.6%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$6,802,763 Vol.
$6,802,763 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
14%

McLaren
4%

Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Williams
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Título del grupo: Haas
1%

Título del grupo: Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 76.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market, driven by recent shakedown tests showcasing their 2025 W16 car's race pace and tire management, alongside George Russell's proven consistency and rookie Kimi Antonelli's promising debut pace in FP1 sessions. Ferrari trails at 14% amid integration risks for Lewis Hamilton pairing with Charles Leclerc, despite the seven-time champion's arrival boosting optimism but tempered by early reliability concerns in pre-season filming days. McLaren's 3.5% reflects defending form fading with Lando Norris' contract uncertainties, while Red Bull's 2.1% stems from engine partnership shifts and Max Verstappen's potential distractions; lower tiers like Aston Martin and Williams hover under 1% due to persistent development gaps and budget constraints highlighted in recent FIA briefings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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