Tottenham Hotspur hold a commanding position in the race for 17th place thanks to a two-point lead and markedly superior goal difference over West Ham United entering the final matchweek. Recent results have reinforced trader consensus around Spurs, including improved form under Roberto De Zerbi that lifted them clear of the drop zone after earlier struggles. West Ham’s consecutive defeats, combined with a worse goal difference of minus 22, have left them needing highly specific outcomes on the final day to overtake their London rivals. Historical patterns in tight relegation scraps favor the side with the points and GD buffer, while both clubs’ inconsistent campaigns this season underscore the narrow margins reflected in current implied probabilities.