Tottenham Hotspur hold a two-point lead over West Ham United with one match remaining in the 2025-26 Premier League season, placing Spurs in 17th on 38 points and the Hammers in 18th on 36. This positioning, combined with Tottenham’s home fixture against Everton versus West Ham’s matchup at Leeds, underpins the market’s 77% implied probability for Spurs to finish 17th and secure survival. Recent results have seen both sides struggle for consistent form amid a tight bottom-table scrap, with West Ham unable to close the gap despite improved January-to-present output. The trader consensus reflects the narrow but meaningful advantage in remaining schedule difficulty and points buffer, though a loss for Tottenham paired with a Hammers victory would still allow for a dramatic reversal on the final day.