Trader consensus prices "No" at 95% for Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by early March defeats of key measures amid partisan divides over President Trump's military actions against Iran. The House rejected H.Con.Res.38—directing removal of U.S. forces from unauthorized hostilities—212-219 on March 5, with Republicans largely opposing alongside a few Democrats. The Senate blocked S.J.Res.104 via a failed discharge motion 47-53 on March 4. No identical qualifying legislation has advanced since, as slim GOP majorities prioritize administration flexibility in the US-Israel-Iran conflict. While Democrats cite growing support amid prolonged hostilities, no new votes or bipartisan compromise are scheduled, cementing low odds despite potential escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$11,609 Vol.
$11,609 Vol.
30 abr 2026
$11,609 Vol.
$11,609 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95% for Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by early March defeats of key measures amid partisan divides over President Trump's military actions against Iran. The House rejected H.Con.Res.38—directing removal of U.S. forces from unauthorized hostilities—212-219 on March 5, with Republicans largely opposing alongside a few Democrats. The Senate blocked S.J.Res.104 via a failed discharge motion 47-53 on March 4. No identical qualifying legislation has advanced since, as slim GOP majorities prioritize administration flexibility in the US-Israel-Iran conflict. While Democrats cite growing support amid prolonged hostilities, no new votes or bipartisan compromise are scheduled, cementing low odds despite potential escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Volumen
$11,609Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95% for Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by early March defeats of key measures amid partisan divides over President Trump's military actions against Iran. The House rejected H.Con.Res.38—directing removal of U.S. forces from unauthorized hostilities—212-219 on March 5, with Republicans largely opposing alongside a few Democrats. The Senate blocked S.J.Res.104 via a failed discharge motion 47-53 on March 4. No identical qualifying legislation has advanced since, as slim GOP majorities prioritize administration flexibility in the US-Israel-Iran conflict. While Democrats cite growing support amid prolonged hostilities, no new votes or bipartisan compromise are scheduled, cementing low odds despite potential escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$11,609Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95% for Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by early March defeats of key measures amid partisan divides over President Trump's military actions against Iran. The House rejected H.Con.Res.38—directing removal of U.S. forces from unauthorized hostilities—212-219 on March 5, with Republicans largely opposing alongside a few Democrats. The Senate blocked S.J.Res.104 via a failed discharge motion 47-53 on March 4. No identical qualifying legislation has advanced since, as slim GOP majorities prioritize administration flexibility in the US-Israel-Iran conflict. While Democrats cite growing support amid prolonged hostilities, no new votes or bipartisan compromise are scheduled, cementing low odds despite potential escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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