Incumbent Democratic Rep. Joe Neguse holds a commanding trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to retain Colorado's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by the seat's strong D+8 partisan voting index and his history of double-digit general election margins, including a 21-point win in 2024. Recent Democratic caucuses and assemblies in March 2026, such as those in Gilpin and Boulder counties, reinforced local party support ahead of the June 30 primaries, where Neguse faces only minor challenger Cinque Mason. No high-profile Republican nominee has emerged for the GOP primary, leaving the field uncompetitive. Scenarios that could shift odds include a strong GOP recruit, Neguse primary upset, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or unforeseen scandal, though these face steep barriers in this safe Democratic stronghold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCO-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CO-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$13,946 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Joe Neguse holds a commanding trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to retain Colorado's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by the seat's strong D+8 partisan voting index and his history of double-digit general election margins, including a 21-point win in 2024. Recent Democratic caucuses and assemblies in March 2026, such as those in Gilpin and Boulder counties, reinforced local party support ahead of the June 30 primaries, where Neguse faces only minor challenger Cinque Mason. No high-profile Republican nominee has emerged for the GOP primary, leaving the field uncompetitive. Scenarios that could shift odds include a strong GOP recruit, Neguse primary upset, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or unforeseen scandal, though these face steep barriers in this safe Democratic stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$13,946Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Joe Neguse holds a commanding trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to retain Colorado's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by the seat's strong D+8 partisan voting index and his history of double-digit general election margins, including a 21-point win in 2024. Recent Democratic caucuses and assemblies in March 2026, such as those in Gilpin and Boulder counties, reinforced local party support ahead of the June 30 primaries, where Neguse faces only minor challenger Cinque Mason. No high-profile Republican nominee has emerged for the GOP primary, leaving the field uncompetitive. Scenarios that could shift odds include a strong GOP recruit, Neguse primary upset, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or unforeseen scandal, though these face steep barriers in this safe Democratic stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,946Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Joe Neguse holds a commanding trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability to retain Colorado's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by the seat's strong D+8 partisan voting index and his history of double-digit general election margins, including a 21-point win in 2024. Recent Democratic caucuses and assemblies in March 2026, such as those in Gilpin and Boulder counties, reinforced local party support ahead of the June 30 primaries, where Neguse faces only minor challenger Cinque Mason. No high-profile Republican nominee has emerged for the GOP primary, leaving the field uncompetitive. Scenarios that could shift odds include a strong GOP recruit, Neguse primary upset, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or unforeseen scandal, though these face steep barriers in this safe Democratic stronghold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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