Market icon

¿Claudia Sheinbaum sale como presidenta de México por...?

Market icon

¿Claudia Sheinbaum sale como presidenta de México por...?

$167,604 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$167,604 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio de 2026

$122,119 Vol.

4%

31 de diciembre de 2026

$1,839 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum, serving her six-year term as Mexico's president since October 2024 inauguration without reelection possibility, holds consolidated power via Morena party's legislative dominance despite hurdles like her March 2026 electoral reform defeat—her first congressional loss—prompting a promised "Plan B." Approval ratings recently hit term lows amid ongoing crime and insecurity worries, though no verified resignation, impeachment proceedings, health issues, or removal efforts have emerged. Recent moves include a new foreign minister appointment on April 1 and mandates for digital-only payments at fuel pumps and tolls by year-end. Key upcoming events—2026 World Cup co-hosting and 2027 midterms—bolster stability, with potential recall mechanisms eyed for 2027-2028 under reform talks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$167,604
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 27, 2025, 7:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum, serving her six-year term as Mexico's president since October 2024 inauguration without reelection possibility, holds consolidated power via Morena party's legislative dominance despite hurdles like her March 2026 electoral reform defeat—her first congressional loss—prompting a promised "Plan B." Approval ratings recently hit term lows amid ongoing crime and insecurity worries, though no verified resignation, impeachment proceedings, health issues, or removal efforts have emerged. Recent moves include a new foreign minister appointment on April 1 and mandates for digital-only payments at fuel pumps and tolls by year-end. Key upcoming events—2026 World Cup co-hosting and 2027 midterms—bolster stability, with potential recall mechanisms eyed for 2027-2028 under reform talks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$167,604
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 27, 2025, 7:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Claudia Sheinbaum sale como presidenta de México por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 10%, seguido de "30 de junio de 2026" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 10¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Claudia Sheinbaum sale como presidenta de México por...?" ha generado $167.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 27, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Claudia Sheinbaum sale como presidenta de México por...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Claudia Sheinbaum sale como presidenta de México por...?" es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 10%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio de 2026" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Claudia Sheinbaum sale como presidenta de México por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.