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What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?

Market icon

What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?

$277,658 Vol.

Dec 31, 2024
Polymarket

$277,658 Vol.

Polymarket

Kaczynski

$49,841 Vol.

No

Crypto/Bitcoin

$19,406 Vol.

No

Deny, Defend, Depose

$21,428 Vol.

No

Brian Thompson

$54,470 Vol.

No

Trump

$12,601 Vol.

No

AI

$14,048 Vol.

No

Woke

$13,105 Vol.

No

Preexisting condition

$12,510 Vol.

No

Fauci

$13,681 Vol.

No

Biden

$7,888 Vol.

No

Black lives matter

$12,885 Vol.

No

Vaccine

$10,496 Vol.

No

UPenn

$15,080 Vol.

No

McDonald's

$20,218 Vol.

No

On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "crypto" or "Bitcoin". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count toward a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the terms "deny", "defend", and "depose". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The manifesto must contain all named terms for this market to resolve to "Yes". Any usage of the terms regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the terms, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the terms will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as the named terms are part of them. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Brian" or "Thompson". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Brian" or "Thompson" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Brian Thompson. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "Trump". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the intelligence exhibited by machines. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "woke". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "woke" is part of the compound word and references leftist ideology which tends to focus on social justice. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "preexisting condition". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Fauci". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Fauci" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Anthony Fauci. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Biden". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Black lives matter" or "BLM". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "BLM" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Black lives matter movement. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "vaccine". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "vaccine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a preparation administered (as by injection) to stimulate the body's immune response against a specific infectious agent or disease. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "UPenn" or "University of Pennsylvania". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "UPenn" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the University of Pennsylvania. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "McDonald's". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.

On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution.

Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski.

This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify.

If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volumen
$277,658
Fecha de finalización
Dec 13, 2024
Mercado abierto
Dec 9, 2024, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "crypto" or "Bitcoin". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count toward a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the terms "deny", "defend", and "depose". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The manifesto must contain all named terms for this market to resolve to "Yes". Any usage of the terms regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the terms, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the terms will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as the named terms are part of them. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Brian" or "Thompson". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Brian" or "Thompson" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Brian Thompson. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "Trump". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the intelligence exhibited by machines. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "woke". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "woke" is part of the compound word and references leftist ideology which tends to focus on social justice. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "preexisting condition". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Fauci". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Fauci" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Anthony Fauci. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Biden". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Black lives matter" or "BLM". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "BLM" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Black lives matter movement. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "vaccine". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "vaccine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a preparation administered (as by injection) to stimulate the body's immune response against a specific infectious agent or disease. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "UPenn" or "University of Pennsylvania". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "UPenn" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the University of Pennsylvania. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "McDonald's". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kaczynski" con 0%, seguido de "Crypto/Bitcoin" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?" ha generado $277.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 9, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?" es "Kaczynski" con solo 0%, con "Crypto/Bitcoin" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.